COVID Vaccine !
- Thread starter kingrollo
- Start date
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Ajax Bay
Guru
- Location
- East Devon
Not quite sure what I glossed over @marinyork but here's an effort to describe the "slow down". Does not depend on "whether you believe the NHS" (I do btw) nor on increasing the vaccination rate beyond current (I suspect supply will be the limiting factor in practice btw),- but obviously any increased rate is a bonus.
I have plotted the vaccine rollout, taking into account the need to give everyone a second jab at 12 weeks, using the gov.uk daily data (@ 14 Feb): assumes sustained 427k per day (= 3Mpw) vaccination (dose) rate.
Key amounts (assumes 100% take-up which won't happen, regrettably) are:
Gps 1-4 = 15M
Gps 5-9 = 32M (maybe 33M after the extra 825k announced as being moved into Gp 6 today)
39M total adding over 40s (= 5.4M (8.4 less 3M guess for all those already done in Gps 2, 4, 6))
46M total adding over 30s (=6.9M (8.9 less 2M guess for all those already done in Gps 2, 4, 6))
From graph: Over 30s should all have received/been offered first jab by early August and, extrapolating, the over 18s should all have received/been offered first jab by end August.
The population of UK is 67M. 63M over 4 years old. 80% of that is 50M. The percentage needed for herd immunity will be dependent on a number of factors.
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Landsurfer
Veteran
Well its been an interesting 24 hours ...
About 1900hrs last night i had a coughing fit, coughing and coughing ... i went into a fugue (?) semi conscious but unresponsive, my right hand becoming claw like..
I was un responsive for nearly 20 seconds and have no recollection of the event. 999 called and 2 paramedics arrived did all the stickers on the chest thing and thought i had suffered a TIA (mini-stroke) .... Parked up for 2 hours in the carpark of A&E then in for more tests .... Top Staff.
0200hrs i get a covid test ...
Seems that the covid inspired coughing fit had led to an artery in my neck becoming restricted stopping / reducing blood flow to my brain. I have an embedded loop recorder installed in my chest which showed the atrial ectopic event. Whatever that means.
So after contact with 19 members of hospital staff they let me know i tested positive ...
So home now, feeling rough, covid positive and spending 72 hours resting while my artery sorts itself out.
Which is slightly annoying as i was due my jab in the morning ....
About 1900hrs last night i had a coughing fit, coughing and coughing ... i went into a fugue (?) semi conscious but unresponsive, my right hand becoming claw like..
I was un responsive for nearly 20 seconds and have no recollection of the event. 999 called and 2 paramedics arrived did all the stickers on the chest thing and thought i had suffered a TIA (mini-stroke) .... Parked up for 2 hours in the carpark of A&E then in for more tests .... Top Staff.
0200hrs i get a covid test ...
Seems that the covid inspired coughing fit had led to an artery in my neck becoming restricted stopping / reducing blood flow to my brain. I have an embedded loop recorder installed in my chest which showed the atrial ectopic event. Whatever that means.
So after contact with 19 members of hospital staff they let me know i tested positive ...
So home now, feeling rough, covid positive and spending 72 hours resting while my artery sorts itself out.
Which is slightly annoying as i was due my jab in the morning ....
steve292
Guru
- Location
- Weston-super-mare, north somerset
Sounds rough. good job the paramedics got to you.look after yourself mate.
Advised, there is no compulsion.
midlife
Guru
https://www.gov.uk/government/publi...ng-extremely-vulnerable-persons-from-covid-19
I guess saying "Should continue" is not compulsion
I guess saying "Should continue" is not compulsion
From an official NHS shielding letter;
"Whilst you are strongly advised to follow these extra precautionary shielding measures to help keep you safe, this is advice, and not the law, so you can choose whether or not you want to follow it"
Get well soon !!
lane
Veteran
My parents - coincidentally - just received an email telling them to shield to the end of March - they have been vaccinated. Given the restrictions currently in place not sure impacts them really.
lazybloke
Today i follow the flying spaghetti monster
- Location
- Leafy Surrey
I don't know your reasons for rejecting the virus or being so dismissive of others; but herd immunity is everyone's business.
Landsurfer
Veteran
Just over an hour from 999 to paramedics arriving ... nice guys ... did some tests them we parked up right outside the A&E door for an hour and had a good chat ,,,
Landsurfer
Veteran
Thank you everyone for their best wishes ... feel like i’ve done a 100 mile TT this morning .... aching in places i didn’t know i had ... 
lane
Veteran
The government is sitting on a vast supply of hundreds of millions of quick turnaround lateral flow tests bought as part of the previously aborted Operation Moonshot, a mass testing scheme championed by Dominic Cummings, the prime minister’s former chief adviser. Those tests, however, were found to be inaccurate as much as 60% of the time.
The latest scheme will involve children, their parents and their support bubbles being offered tests twice a week once schools reopen in March, with a similar policy intended for teachers and close contacts. Including existing tests for people who have to leave home for work, the plan will mean about 68% of England’s population is eligible for repeated rapid testing, the Times said, citing a government document.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...e-part-of-england-lockdown-easing-report-says
The latest scheme will involve children, their parents and their support bubbles being offered tests twice a week once schools reopen in March, with a similar policy intended for teachers and close contacts. Including existing tests for people who have to leave home for work, the plan will mean about 68% of England’s population is eligible for repeated rapid testing, the Times said, citing a government document.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...e-part-of-england-lockdown-easing-report-says
matticus
Guru
Can I suggest you have a lie-in, and skip the jab for now?So home now, feeling rough, covid positive and spending 72 hours resting while my artery sorts itself out.
Which is slightly annoying as i was due my jab in the morning ....
;-)
Get well soon!
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Ajax Bay
Guru
- Location
- East Devon
Why I am in a higher priority group for a vaccine than younger people with chronic health conditions
Professor David Spiegelhalter
Statistician, communicator about evidence, risk, probability, chance, uncertainty, etc. Chair, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, Cambridge.
Professor David Spiegelhalter
Statistician, communicator about evidence, risk, probability, chance, uncertainty, etc. Chair, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, Cambridge.
