Coronavirus outbreak

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RecordAceFromNew

Swinging Member
Location
West London
Chief Medical Officer has said that their models suggest a peak infection rate in 2-3 months time. 50% of all infections will occur in a 3 week period and 95% within a 9 week period.

So based on that, we might expect the new infections to peak May/June and drop to a very small number by July/August

What is unknown is the number of total infections. A lot of that is down to us and the various mitigation strategies available to us

I think that is predicated on many changes to modus operandi that have not yet happened. Tube trains are still crowded, nobody wears a mask, people with flu-like symptoms from high risk countries are just asked to self-isolate at home - what about the family members, given the WHO has concluded cross infection within households was the biggest issue in Wuhan, hence the lock down was effective/necessary.

I wonder if enough has been done, when we are clearly far from being as diligent as places like Singapore and Hong Kong*, which have managed to stop it in its track, for now anyway.

* copy link to an incognito tab of your browser if you can't read it
 

Joey Shabadoo

My pronouns are "He", "Him" and "buggerlugs"
Getting imaginative in Australia

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I think that is predicated on many changes to modus operandi that have not yet happened. Tube trains are still crowded, nobody wears a mask, people with flu-like symptoms from high risk countries are just asked to self-isolate at home - what about the family members, given the WHO has concluded cross infection within households was the biggest issue in Wuhan, hence the lock down was effective/necessary.

I wonder if enough has been done, when we are clearly far from being as diligent as places like Singapore and Hong Kong*, which have managed to stop it in its track, for now anyway.

* copy link to an incognito tab of your browser if you can't read it

Can the free west force people to stay in there homes ? (Boris Johnson has said he supports free movement of people)
 

Fab Foodie

hanging-on in quiet desperation ...
Location
Kirton, Devon.
The stairs in your house can be a good workout. Go up and down them for a few minutes.
I do that....it doesn't work... every time I get to the top, I can't remember why I went up stairs....then I think I remember - oh, maybe it's to remove this exercise kit, that'll be it....
 
Location
London
Just back from the Co-op. The panic buying looks to have started. Tinned food, tissues, hand sanitiser, paracetamol all out of stock!
wot ALL tinned food?
Luckily I have very broadminded tastes so am sure I can rustle up something from tins that will keep me fed/happy.
And veg can hardly be panic stockpiled.
 

marinyork

Resting in suspended Animation
Location
Logopolis
One of the chinese supermarkets in town is almost totally empty of stock. One of the buildings at uni where a lot of chinese students go (literally hundreds) is starting to empty.

Two british airways staff have contracted the virus.
 

Dave7

Legendary Member
Location
Cheshire
shiny paper!worse than Izal!
I tried using kitchen foil this morning. I don't recommend it unless you double it over :wacko:
 

Milkfloat

An Peanut
Location
Midlands
Chief Medical Officer has said that their models suggest a peak infection rate in 2-3 months time. 50% of all infections will occur in a 3 week period and 95% within a 9 week period.

So based on that, we might expect the new infections to peak May/June and drop to a very small number by July/August

To my mind that says on an individual level you might as well try and contract it now whilst the NHS is still functioning. Do you think a Corona party would work like a chicken pox party?
 

fossyant

Ride It Like You Stole It!
Location
South Manchester
One of the chinese supermarkets in town is almost totally empty of stock. One of the buildings at uni where a lot of chinese students go (literally hundreds) is starting to empty.

Two british airways staff have contracted the virus.

Seen a few student's wearing masks, and same in Hulme Asda earlier. Fair amount of stocks in Asda (including rice etc), didn't spot anything missing. We'd be in trouble if the Chinese supermarkets in China Town were emptying in Manchester.
 

marinyork

Resting in suspended Animation
Location
Logopolis
Seen a few student's wearing masks, and same in Hulme Asda earlier. Fair amount of stocks in Asda (including rice etc), didn't spot anything missing. We'd be in trouble if the Chinese supermarkets in China Town were emptying in Manchester.

Masks are normal to see anyway here.

Normal shops and supermarkets fine. It's the chinese ones. Said that people are isolating themselves. If that is the case probs good whatever your ethnicity.

I am expecting cases to start rising by 100 a day, maybe even that'll happen today or the end of the weekend. Not sure what will happen with uni, whether they would close it down.
 
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