Tour de France 2024 SPOILERS
- Thread starter rich p
- Start date
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T4tomo
Legendary Member
most French supporters stand at the top of a summit finish Waiting for Bardet. He rarely pleases them, bu I'm pleased for them and him he finally did.
Dogtrousers
Kilometre nibbler
So who, of current riders, can make it to the top of the leaderboard of stage wins and maybe challenge for the record?
1 Cav 35
2 Merckx 34
3 Hinault 28
4 Leduc 25
5 Darrigade 22
Probably only Pog.
Pog is 25 and has completed 4 tours plus this one so far and has 12 stage wins. Same as Cippolini, McEwen, Erik Zabel (and others) and 2 short of Kittel. 11 more needed to claim the 5th spot. Entirely possible.
Vingegaard is 27, has 3 wins from 3 completed tours, but he's more of an attritional GC rider than a flashy stage bagger like Pog. I can see him winning more GCs but not a bucketful of stages.
Phillipsen is 26. Has 6 from 2 completed tours. Given a long career and a lot of luck it's not entirely impossible but I'm not going to bet on it.
Remco is 24. 0 from 0 completed tours. I've just included him in order to make the Remco haters and Remco sceptics spit their tea. I'm such a troll.
1 Cav 35
2 Merckx 34
3 Hinault 28
4 Leduc 25
5 Darrigade 22
Probably only Pog.
Pog is 25 and has completed 4 tours plus this one so far and has 12 stage wins. Same as Cippolini, McEwen, Erik Zabel (and others) and 2 short of Kittel. 11 more needed to claim the 5th spot. Entirely possible.
Vingegaard is 27, has 3 wins from 3 completed tours, but he's more of an attritional GC rider than a flashy stage bagger like Pog. I can see him winning more GCs but not a bucketful of stages.
Phillipsen is 26. Has 6 from 2 completed tours. Given a long career and a lot of luck it's not entirely impossible but I'm not going to bet on it.
Remco is 24. 0 from 0 completed tours. I've just included him in order to make the Remco haters and Remco sceptics spit their tea. I'm such a troll.
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Alex321
Guru
- Location
- South Wales
I think barring catastrophic injury, or some new star we don't know about yet, Pog probably WILL do it.
He will probably ride at least 10 more TdF, and will most likely win 3-4 stages in each of them, barring this hypothetical new star.
T4tomo
Legendary Member
I was thinking the same yesterday. No one sprinter is dominating at the moment, my thoughts were probably only Pog could get close to the top 3. Wout van Aert has 9 stage wins I think so far, but is 29, but is a monster
Dogtrousers
Kilometre nibbler
I forgot Wout. It's possible, he can win anything, but working for Jonas might cramp his style
roadrash
cycle chatterer
- Location
- sitting on the edge of wigan pier
Who do we fancy for todays sprint then........
Imagine how many Cav would have won without the Epstein Barr issue.
Cav was asked numerous times about his struggles on stage 1 and he was saying they new what they had to do to avoid the time cut off. More than that though, he said in one interview that were the other sprinters doing putting in too much effort to come in halfway down the field. I think he showed that conservation of energy is crucial.
Cav was asked numerous times about his struggles on stage 1 and he was saying they new what they had to do to avoid the time cut off. More than that though, he said in one interview that were the other sprinters doing putting in too much effort to come in halfway down the field. I think he showed that conservation of energy is crucial.
Possible echelons apparently...WVA?
Dogtrousers
Kilometre nibbler
Pedersen DNS 
Not Cav's fault
Not Cav's fault
roadrash
cycle chatterer
- Location
- sitting on the edge of wigan pier
He has started today ??Pedersen DNS
Not Cav's fault
Dogtrousers
Kilometre nibbler
Tour app says he's withdrawn
Oops. My mistake. Wrong Pederesen.
Casper P was a withdrawal, on stage 4 Mads is ok
As you were, sorry ....
Still not Cav's fault
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T4tomo
Legendary Member
Phew!
My prediction for today is....Jonas Abrahamsen....
...to be first over the little cat4 climb near the start.
Dogtrousers
Kilometre nibbler
I predict Cavendish/Girmay photo.
And the result is ... ach my crystal ball has fogged up
And the result is ... ach my crystal ball has fogged up
Aravis
Putrid Donut
- Location
- Gloucester
You want to modify one bit of history and assume that everything else would remain the same? I think it's highly likely that he'd've been happily retired for a few years by now.
Some of the opinion pieces following yesterday's events have rightly highlighted his longevity, itself a by-product of the interrupted latter part of his career. Sometimes things work out for the best.
I don't know for sure, but I imagine Cavendish has the biggest time gap between his first and last stage win. If this is so, you might wonder when he acquired this distinction. Clue - it wasn't very long ago.
