I'm no statistician but it's not looking good. Hopefully they will put us into an extremely aggressive lockdown again.
The metaphorical horse I invoked six months ago which had previously escaped the Solar system is now on a trajectory to the black hole at the centre of the galaxy, and the stable door bolterers are nowhere in sight.
The left bit of that curve around 23rd March was probably 100,000 per day.
The ONS stuff today suggests that infection rates have gone down slightly, the most plausible explanation is local restrictions and the rule of 6 has slowed the spread of the virus slightly down from 9,600 per day to 8,400 per day. I think the 95% bounds were between 6000 cases per day and 15,000 per day. Next week's information will be interesting.
It's not good though as I'm still expecting a slow steady climb like in Spain/France until November or so.
edit: this is from the daily mail and from somewhere, I think ONS originally they don't say or some other module. Confusingly it says cases per day when the boxes are a week, but the rest is right. On this one it'd be even higher than said previously, maybe as high as 175,000 new cases per day some days.