It’ll be interesting to see where we go from here, once this virus situation has been resolved. A big question, must surely be how the NHS is set-up so that it can deal with future pandemics. What should be our realistic expectations ?
For example, if a similar virus pandemic occurs again, we would we expect the NHS to cope with it; but would we expect for ‘routine’ operations to be carried out at the same time, or should they always ‘put on hold’ when such outbreaks occur ?
I think that the impact of the coronavirus has gone way beyond what most of us expected. In the first 70 or 80 posts on this thread, there are only a few that stand out, as voicing any concerns. That’s not a criticism of the rest, btw, but it illustrates our unpreparedness for what has subsequently occurred.
Given the level of PPE being deployed ( class 4 pathogen level) and the fact that the Chinese have already mapped the genome of the virus, and know exactly what they are up against, I’d say we should be concerned.
Am in Hong Kong. I can share a few pointers on what to do.
First, I've seen R0 transmission rate models that of between 2.2 and 2.6. This is the number of people each infected person in turn infects. Note the models seem well researched but also the more drastic models are the ones that are more likely to be shared so I may not have seen other lighter models. Based on R0 of 2.5 one should expect between 60% and 90% of the world's population to be infected at some point.
In Hong Kong we've gone into full SARS mode. People here know the drill. The measures people are taking were the ones implemented to get SARS rate down below R0=1. So, all public events are being cancelled. Everyone is wearing a surgical mask out of home (although technically only infectious people wear need wear one, and technically you could get arrested for it as a protestor). Wash your hands every 30 minutes or so with alcohol sanitiser or soap and water.
My suggestions - be prepared for when this reaches Europe. Right now the one thing you should do is stock up on hand sanitiser.
Once it starts getting into Europe start stocking up on face masks. Then stock up on household essentials such as tinned food. Get into the habit of washing your hands frequently and wash thoroughly for at least 20 seconds each time. Get some surgical face masks if you can - this won't necessarily help you but will reduce you passing it on to others.
Be prepared also for lockdowns similar to Foot & Mouth. This will include cancellation of large public events such as RideLondon, marathons etc.
Hard to believe, but hardly anyone on this forum took this ^^^ comment seriously - at the time. It just goes to show, we've all been on a massive learning curve.
Hopefully, there will be a few good things that come from this; first, that the NHS will receive the funding and equipment it requires. Secondly, we'll be better prepared for a similar pandemic and finally, I hope that there'll be no talk in any quarter, of privatising the NHS.