Coronavirus outbreak

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nickyboy

Norven Mankey
So far yes, no ban on movement. Only Spain stopped this, Italy still allowed.
It's same in Italy and Spain. No cycling. I presume you can cycle to buy your food or go to work. But that's it. I have a friend in Sicily, she is running to the shops for food as her exercise

For those in UK you need to stop the big group rides and swerve the café stop
 

tom73

Guru
Location
Yorkshire
I always think that those accusing others of being snowflakes are the biggest snowflakes of all.........why not stop criticising and go and help an elderly neighbour or someone who is vulnerable?
In deed it don't take much but can mean the world some. I've just check on one of mine known her for years grow up with her kids. Just called round to see how was and if she needed anything. Had a good idea she was well prepared. Turns out she is so quick call ended up being 3 hours. Turned out she's has a bit of bad time the last few months top it all off tomorrow would have been her 47th wedding anniversary. I just let her chat away she's not many folk to talk things over with , well not ones she feels comfortable with.
 

mjr

Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
Yes I would have preferred to see them closed down. I guess it's suck it and see. Pubs and restaurants will close naturally as they won't have enough customers to justify opening. If people are idiots and places are still rammed then they will be closed down legally I guess, like they were in Ireland
If government closes them, they would have more of a case from compensation. Much cheaper to bankrupt them. The big chains will probably survive, but what about small indies?
 
Location
London
The other problem is people are panicked and think if they catch it they are doomed. True for specific subsets but for rest of us we will fall ill, spend time in bed, recover. It’s evident rational thought is missing for many.

Lets also be clear, those not in vulnerable groups, we need to fall ill. That’s the government strategy. Fall ill within a minimal circle. Don’t spread it far and wide. Recover. Do it in the 12 week period that vulnerable members are isolated. So in 12 weeks the quarantine can be removed as the rest of us are now immune. Much reduced risk to vulnerable members and the NHS can cope with the serious cases.

If this doesn’t happen the isolation of vulnerable from fit and healthy will have been for nowt. We just delay the outbreak and deaths 12 weeks.

My issue is they have suspended testing outside serious hospital cases. So we will never know how many have had it and are now immune.
Been thinking this for a couple of weeks.
Visited mum recently.
Hope to see again.
May need to return to help her with stuff.
So does seem to me that it would be best if i got it and dealt with it.
Anyone see anything wrong with this logic??
Agree with you about testing.
Uk approach on testing appears to make little sense on several levels.
Only reason i can see for it is that boris and his bunch have so crippled the nhs that it isn't capable of doing anything else.
 

mjr

Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next

mjr

Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
So does seem to me that it would be best if i got it and dealt with it.
Anyone see anything wrong with this logic??
Nobody seems quite sure how likely it is to catch it a second time?
 
Location
London
Nobody seems quite sure how likely it is to catch it a second time?
I had the idea that it was unlikely for quite some time.
It is a key question which, along with several others, our leaders don't seem to be addressing as clearly as they should.
If they don't know, just tell us.
We are adults.
 

marinyork

Resting in suspended Animation
Location
Logopolis
Nobody seems quite sure how likely it is to catch it a second time?

Not found a transcript, but this was dealt with a in the press conference by Vallance and Witty. Be interesting to read it.

Basically they thought the media line was cobblers. You can catch something a second time, even with Herd immunity, but it's rare.

Witty emphasized as said in previous diagrams and advice used back going as far as January that immunity wasn't permanent, but that it might be for months say, that may or may not cover the second surge in the winter as modelled (and seen in previous pandemics/flu seasons). Or it might last longer if you're lucky. Something along those lines. Witty/Vallance said there was evidence - they had evidence getting it protects someone.
 
Location
London
Not found a transcript, but this was dealt with a in the press conference by Vallance and Witty. Be interesting to read it.

Basically they thought the media line was cobblers. You can catch something a second time, even with Herd immunity, but it's rare.

Witty emphasized as said in previous diagrams and advice used back going as far as January that immunity wasn't permanent, but that it might be for months say, that may or may not cover the second surge in the winter as modelled (and seen in previous pandemics/flu seasons). Or it might last longer if you're lucky. Something along those lines. Witty/Vallance said there was evidence - they had evidence getting it protects someone.
Thanks. That tallies with the idea i had.
So on balance it seems a good idea for folk who are confident of their health to get it and isolate at the first signs of anything.
 

marinyork

Resting in suspended Animation
Location
Logopolis
Thanks. That tallies with the idea i had.
So on balance it seems a good idea for folk who are confident of their health to get it and isolate at the first signs of anything.

In previous advice, this is one of the issues that is modelled to reduce the peak, I think actually may have even been one of the most effective measures. It's going to happen anyway. Without a quicker/more widely applied test (see later), there are some issues around that, especially with health workers.

Not to be controversially getting everyone to be nice to everyone, but actually there is pretty much agreement across the board. The differences are cultural ones or how governments are run. The UK's advice doesn't really conflict with anything people have said about singapore or hong kong. Where the difference lies is that as in Italy, the social distancing and lockdown was widely ignored. Very widely ignored. So widely ignored in fact that it's quite interesting that peeps keep on posting about you're allowed to go out for a bike ride. I wonder why that is! This is probably not a point missed by our leaders, but is one missed multiple times by people on this thread who keep on yelling social distancing to everything and that it'll somehow magically work or that people pay attention. No one out there pays any attention to what's written here and not really too much to what Boris or anyone else says.

The disagreement is the 1 peak vs 2 or multiple peaks. For some reason and some deus ex machina some people here think after 1 peak that's it. Vallance/Witty (and actually if you watch some Italian tv it even says this on there occasionally) think they'll be 2 peaks. It's just Italy is so up shoot creek without a paddle that one's not being discussed quite so much now.

As said previously, in essence all governments have a contain method. The other disagreement with UK policy is what happens after the first phase. There are three technological solutions out there which a guy on here got incredibly argy bargy about. Chill. It isn't my view and I don't make governments' policy. Some governments do seem to be holding out on this as an insurance policy, which was why I said it. Or just hoping for the best.

Some countries have buggered up/given up on the testing though :sad:.
 
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