Coronavirus outbreak

[marinyork]

As you indicated a little while back, East Anglia is taking off. My own district of Mid Suffolk (mainly rural, largest town Stowmarket) almost trebled its cases per 100,000 in one week. Unlike in earlier months, I'm not aware of any meat packer plant outbreaks to account for this.

https://www.eadt.co.uk/news/health/suffolk-coronavirus-infection-rates-latest-6863378

And then there's this:

https://www.eadt.co.uk/news/health/ipswich-hospital-coronavirus-crisis-revealed-6864228

Mid-suffolk is fairly typical for tier 2 areas. For anyone that doesn't look at the dashboard on a regular basis, that only goes up to the 17th December (each bar is 1 day) not even up to Boris's press conference at the weekend.

I tend not to look at hospital trust data, but here's East of England:

 

[Rezillo]

Mid-suffolk is fairly typical for tier 2 areas. For anyone that doesn't look at the dashboard on a regular basis, that only goes up to the 17th December (each bar is 1 day) not even up to Boris's press conference at the weekend.

View attachment 564781

I tend not to look at hospital trust data, but here's East of England:

View attachment 564782

Could really do with a Thanks emoticon rather than liking this but thanks.

 

[marinyork]

Could really do with a Thanks emoticon rather than liking this but thanks.

The ministers have newer info, 3pm press conference. A lot of what I wrote previously was based on 14th December data which was bad enough.

One of the most interesting new datasets is the Isle of Wight one, which has got little attention. The government put a firebreak of 3 x tier 4 areas and a sea in between to protect it in its tier 1. The Isle of Wight has immediately bounced back up to pre-national restriction levels taking a few steps at a time.

The levels are not super scary there yet, but not for very long with tier 1 allowing up to six interhousehold mixing to meet indoors.

 

[tom73]

Prof Ferguson of sage told select committee he believes curve to flatten with current measures. But went on to make the critical point
However, he said the "critical question" was what happens in January, "and the extent we want to make public health measures more uniform across the country if the new variant is everywhere".
Which is the big problem we've been here before and every time the government bottles it as soon as small improves start.

 

[marinyork]

Boxing Day: 00:01
Herefordshire and Cornwall go to tier 2.
Isle of Wight and large bits of south west go to tier 3.
Pretty much the entire South East/East/East Anglia in tier 4.

 

[tom73]

Great confirmed yet another strain confirmed here via SA sounds like it's worse than our current one.
Legal formal enforced quarantine to be used on SA cases until we know more. 2 cases found via SA travel anyone who's been to SA in last two weeks but isolate and any close contact to do the same.
God Hancock really is laying on the charm and I know as everyone will do right thing lines. As for the thank you NHS and social care workers
You can stuff it mate to sum up his press conference .... pass the bucket.

 

[marinyork]

Jenny Harries's first slide.

 

[DCLane]

If we extrapolate the dotted blue line on her slide I can see what's coming in January for everywhere else

 

[Bollo]

Hampshire goes into Tier 4. I’m not entirely surprised. Rates are still relatively low down my ends but have nearly doubled over the past week. Interesting that the New Forest has been excluded though.

 

[marinyork]

The journalists sounds quite pissed with their questions.

 

[tom73]

If we extrapolate the dotted blue line on her slide I can see what's coming in January for everywhere else

Bit like groundhog day for us who never got much past tier 3 or the one before

 

[Deleted User]

Bit like groundhog day for us who never got much past tier 3 or the one before

Same here.

 

[tom73]

Note to Hancock throwing in study out today in Lancet to support the old tiers to beef up your relay. At least 1 sound like you've read it and two expand your reference to inc referencers to it. If not you look even a bigger knob.

 

[BoldonLad]

The prime places I get exposed to others indoors are the supermarkets. I suspect this may the case for many others who don't have young children, who will have daily playground and school gates exposure. So, I've been running around buying stuff for a festival I dread and, in doing so, have increased the chances of becoming infected and spreading infection. All for nothing, bar the wasted money and the food I cannot eat. I wonder how many people have been similarly increasing their infection risk all for nothing.

Christmas is not compulsory, just don’t do it.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Hancock:

“But we also know that Tier 3 is not enough to control the new variant. This is not our hypothesis, it is a fact and we have seen it on the ground.

So why the fark are you leaving half the country in tier 2/3, knowing that the virus will continue to spread as a result, you farking idiot? 700 people a day are dying already! How many more die before you follow your own logic??

This is doing my nut. How can he possibly justify this?