Coronavirus outbreak

[mjr]

Some people are simply being stupid - crowding in shops and events. They clearly haven't learnt from the first and second shut-downs. Utter morons.

Not unique to England. Here's Germany's Daily Show making fun of the Economy and Energy Minister saying that "Shopping Is Your Patriotic Duty" after scenes of overcrowded pedestrian shopping zones in major cities...

The presenter did also comment on it being the first time they've ever seen that guy with a bike!

 

[pawl]

Some people are simply being stupid - crowding in shops and events. They clearly haven't learnt from the first and second shut-downs. Utter morons.

Did you see the photos of that mob out side HarrodsPolice arrested four

 

[rockyroller]

saw this plot the other day & the drop off after the New Year was striking

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/scie...pandemic-1918-and-covid-19-caution-180975040/

 

[mjr]

Discussed on BBC More or Less podcast, here's a geographic calculator of the risk of a gathering containing someone with the virus: https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/?global

 

[Julia9054]

Discussed on BBC More or Less podcast, here's a geographic calculator of the risk of a gathering containing someone with the virus: https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/?global

Interesting. A gathering of 25 in North Yorkshire has a risk of containing someone with the virus of between 16 and 30 percent.
I attend between 4 and 6 of those a day.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

UK cases remain static week on week with today's numbers

Looks pretty clear on nationwide average basis the decline has now stopped, and not just a blip, though there's a huge amount of regional variation within that.

Given that the effects of lockdown removal will most likely not yet be reflected at all in those (incubation period), and anecdotally there's been a surge in retail and other activity, it would be very surprising if we don't see an accelerating rise towards Christmas and then a further acceleration beyond, I fear.

We can probably expect within a couple of weeks the UK govt to be faced with the same issues that the Welsh govt has today.

Action needed now IMO - all our learning is that delay makes it worse rather than better.

Stop a pre vaccine surge! Cancel Christmas!

[obviously grossly amateur "analysis" and broad brush thoughts. I hope I'm wrong and have missed something obvious]

 

[Bazzer]

Personally, I am expecting a spike in cases post Christmas and possibly as quickly as the New Year, with the consequence of more lockdown. It has repeatedly been seen that some of the population cannot behave. Add into the mix, entering into what many seem to consider a period of getting hammered, I don't see any reason for optimism.
Closer personal experience also doesn't give me cause to taking a glass half full attitude either.-
In the last 2 weeks:
A classroom assistant at child 1's school turning up at school despite showing symptoms! Covid test confirmed positive. That meant child 1 (assistant head teacher and head of maths), several other members of staff and a number of children, in isolation for 14 days.
Child 2 at university, had a fellow student in her block had tested positive on Saturday. (Students are supposed to have stayed in their own groups, but mysteriously, no others in the infected person's group have tested positive). The university's response- send her home.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

A classroom assistant at child 1's school turning up at school despite showing symptoms!

The absolute unfettered stupidity of the human race never ceases to amaze me.

A friend of ours is a postdoc bioscientist, married to an actual professor of virology.

Their youngest had mild symptoms so she took him for a test. Meanwhile, the rest of the family went to meet up with their elderly parents for a weeks holiday. Test done, she decided it probably wasn't COVID, so the pair took the train across the country. Holiday commenced, the test came back positive 48 hrs later. Everyone drives home to isolate. Thankfully, no-one else positive.

Writing this I know it sounds utterly, insanely unlikely. I promise you it's true.

 

[MntnMan62]

The absolute unfettered stupidity of the human race never ceases to amaze me.

A friend of ours is a postdoc bioscientist, married to an actual professor of virology.

Their youngest had mild symptoms so she took him for a test. Meanwhile, the rest of the family went to meet up with their elderly parents for a weeks holiday. Test done, she decided it probably wasn't COVID, so the pair took the train across the country. Holiday commenced, the test came back positive 48 hrs later. Everyone drives home to isolate. Thankfully, no-one else positive.

Writing this I know it sounds utterly, insanely unlikely. I promise you it's true.

You are describing countless imbecilic morons in the US. Stupidity is running rampant.

 

[Ming the Merciless]

You see it every day with dog walkers. They have no concept of what social distancing means. Stupidity of the highest order.

 

[deptfordmarmoset]

Figures are slowly dropping here, according to the Zoe app. Lowest since 18 October. (Total estimated active cases.)

 

[Ming the Merciless]

Figures are slowly dropping here, according to the Zoe app. Lowest since 18 October. (Total estimated active cases.)
View attachment 562193

Thanks for this, reminded me to report how m doing today

 

[mjr]

After Canada suffers a post Thanksgiving surge and worries about Xmas, a Canadian provincial premier tells it like it is, 2min 30 in:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZ4n31gL3lU&t=150

 

[roubaixtuesday]

After Canada suffers a post Thanksgiving surge and worries about Xmas, a Canadian provincial premier tells it like it is, 2min 30 in:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZ4n31gL3lU&t=150

What a contrast to Johnson

 

[raleighnut]

What a contrast to Johnson

Not to mention the Donald.