I see it's the same old tropes...
EV batteries need replacing after 5-10 years. No they don't, they're guaranteed for 8 years. And they gradually decline. They don't get to 10 years old and explode /suddenly die.
As you suggest they slowly degrade, meaning over their lifetime they give ever-reducing range and require more frequent charging. Nowhere in this thread has it been suggested that they explode; although now you mention it there are plenty of videos on Youtube of EVs spontaneously bursting into flames...
There's an interesting breakdown on the degradation of the Nissan Leaf battery
here; taken from aggregated real-world data. Cutting straight to the chase, about a third down the page is a table of mileage versus range. By 55k miles the table suggests a typical battery will have lost around 1/3rd of its charge capacity / range. In a world where 100k miles on a decent IC car is no big thing, a 100k mile leaf is unlikey to get you very far; while the cost of a replacement battery (best I could find online with a quick search) is £5k. By the time the car's covered 100k miles, is that going to be a justifiable cost?
I understand that there's a huge range of tastes and budgets in this sector, and I'm right at the bottom. However, with the cost of living crisis only getting worse - where would someone who now runs a 100k mile+, £500 beater on a total annual budget of maybe £1-1.5k find themselves in the new shiny world of EVs, if they were the only choice? Walking (or cycling
) would be my guess.
Mining. Because oil drilling never hurt anyone.
That kind of proves my point - EVs are sold on their environmental credentials; when really we're just exchanging one unsustainable evil for another - while at the same time lining the pockets of the man and screwing our own future.
If we all had EVs then UK power consumption would go up BY OVER 1%!! Oh, the humanity...
Given how much energy it takes to accelerate / push through the air a large, 2 ton metal box / that really doesn't sound correct... and indeed
according to this source (near the bottom and full disclosure I've only skimmed it as I have the attention span of a potato) it isn't:
Another of the sensitivities – missed by the newspaper headline writers – is called “High EV”, and tests the impact of even faster and wider adoption of the technology. It sees all 35m cars in the UK becoming electric in 2050, with a limited spread of autonomous vehicles and an unmanaged grid, where most consumers charge up at similar times.
In this worst-case scenario, peak EV electricity demand could reach 30GW, far more than the 18GW highlighted in the press. This is equivalent to half of current peak demand on the GB grid.
For instance the huge lump of money is not needed, we can buy a second hand Leaf for £6,000.
How does that work for those of us who typically spend a grand or less on a car? What sort of mileage / battery degradation are we talking at that price point? How long is that vehicle's viable service life compared to an IC equivalent? What about the energy and material costs of production and disposal?
People run model T's and other veteran cars, so why would electric cars become useless.
Because "veteran cars" are basic, easily user-serviceable mechanical vehicles with a raft of low-cost spares availability.
Electric vehicles are none of these things; just like most modern consumer goods (posh IC vehicles included) every available measure has been taken to disempower the consumer; making them as reliant as possible on specialised tertiary services to sustain the ever-decreasing lifespan of their chosen product.
EVs have crossed the transport rubicon from relatively long-lived mechanical products to "tech". How many people do you know running a 5+ year old phone, or repairing / maintaining their own electronic items when the built-in-obsolescence comes snapping at their heels; demanding that they stuff their old device down the gullet of a dolphin and replace it with a new shiny alternative?
And yet I bet they all accepted at some point an electric watch...........and many other items that went from mechanical to electric.
That's a bizarre analogy though, is it not? It's not a case of "electric bad, mechanical good" across all possible products and markets, it's a case of suitabilty and viability for the application in hand.
Nuclear arguably works well for satellites, power stations and fighty submarines,.. not so much for your central heating. Diesel is well-suited to freight trains and haulage; less-so your toaster. Electric's great for your microwave; maybe not as viable for passenger air travel. Human power is great for perambulating yourself around the countryside on a two-wheeled escape machine, although I have my doubts about my personal ability to power my cooker.
Everyone has their own agenda that defines their opinion; mine is simply to be evidence-led and choose the best option for myself and the planet.. and as far as EVs go I'm yet to be convinced.