In my logic, the water's already there and the tyre arrives directly down on the water. It has to get displaced somewhere and the existence of small channels on my Schwalbe Supremes assist it in going outwards. If the water were flowing, it might be possibly be different but the tyre's movement in relation to the road is up and down (unless you're skidding and if it's your front tyre that's slipping all bets are off anyway.) In any case, I've never witnessed the catastrophic effects of a tractor reversing on mud. I'd need
@young Ed to tell me where the mud goes. I can't see any reason why the mud should be forced inwards though.