MartinC said:
You're all missing the point. 20mph limits have only been proven to work in practice. No-one's proved that they work in theory.
I'm all for properly targeted limits, I'm also all for greater enforcement of the current limits (which would have a significant impact too).
I don't think that the results of the survey can be treated as black'n'white as many are using them. What caused the reduction in the trial areas? Was it down to enforcement? Or publicity? Or signage? I haven't read the report in full, so I don't know if those points were addressed.
There is a "cost" related to the risk of a fatal accident. If we were to throw enough money at, say, rail transport, we could make it safer than it is currently with automatic train monitoring, pendelino trains on every route, GPS tracking and a 100% rail-sensor coverage. But we don't have billions to throw around, so we attribute a notional cost to each life potentially saved and use that as the basis for targeting the expenditure.
The cost of a 20mph limit is not only the real cost of the reduced efficiency of the vehicles but the cost of all the additional hours which people spend on the road. If the limit on a trunk road was reduced from 70 to 20, for instance (an extreme example), then journey times would treble and the notional cost of the journey would increase commensurately.
Someone somewhere has worked out that allowing people to drive at 60 on the A33 from Reading to Basingstoke will mean the average journey time is x1, the notional cost is y1 and the number of KSI's is z1, whereas reducing the limit to 50 would change the figures to x2, y2 and z2. That someone then decided that it was worth the notional increased cost to reduce the notional accident rate. However, the fail for me is that every part of the calculation is open to criticism but they use the same figures nationwide and we're stuck with the results.
If we know someone who has died on the roads, what value would we have put on the safety which might have saved them?
We're also stuck with a transport system that we cannot make 100% safe and with our chosen mode of transport being amongst the most vulnerable out there.
Personally, I'd be happy if:
1. Drivers were made more aware of the dangers they can cause, even when sticking to the limits.
2. Driver training was more rigorous and re-tested frequently.
3. The laws we have already were more rigorously applied, not just the ones which result in easy wins which help the police and Home Office publicity machine pretend that they are tackling crime by making drivers into criminals.
4. Targeted 20 limits were brought in to residential areas, together with measures to reduce the volume, as well as the speed, of the traffic in those areas.