Food for thoughts.

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markemark

Über Member
I would suggest that there will be millions of planets that support life. I would also suggest that intelligent life is far, far less likely. But where it does exist it will wipe itself out very quickly. So given the age of the universe the chance of intelligent life being around at the vanishingly small periods at the same time is pretty much 0. The chances of us funding proof of intelligent life in iur times is as close to 0 as you can get.

But….as above I imagine there’s a reasonable number of planets that support organic life….plants, insects etc. these planets will have identifiable atmospheres. There’ll be chemical signals that are, in all likelihood, the product of organic life. Not a certainty, but a chemical makeup that is unlikely to have occurred naturally without organic life. So what may well happen, as our telescopes improve, is one day they’ll discover a planet that has a high probability of life. And that’s the best we can hope for. I hope this discovery happens in my lifetime.
 
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Drago

Legendary Member
The chances of other intelligent life varies wildly depending on which model or paradox one chooses to follow.
 

roubaixtuesday

self serving virtue signaller
It is estimated that the Universe is 100 000 light years across so, personally, I think there are thousands of other inhabited planets but so far away that we will never be aware of each other and that makes me feel good, knowing that we are not alone.

It's immeasurably bigger than we realise.

There are 100 billion (10^11) stars just in our galaxy.

There are 100 billion *galaxies* (10^11) in the universe.

So there are very roughly 10^22 stars in the universe.

10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000

This is so big we can't conceive of what it means.

(And apologies if I've got some arithmetic awryv there, it's possible!)

What we don't know is how likely other technological societies are.

Very simple life started on earth quite early, so it seems likely, but not certain, that there will be life elsewhere.

But complex life came much later, taking several billion years. Technological development has been present really only in the last few thousand years, out of 4 billion.

It could be that the steps from simple to complex, and complex to intelligent, and intelligent to technological societies are all very, very unlikely and we're unique. It's impossible to know.

What we can say is that communication with alien intelligence is almost certainly impossible. The distances are too far, and the speed of light too slow.
 

markemark

Über Member
It's immeasurably bigger than we realise.

There are 100 billion (10^11) stars just in our galaxy.

There are 100 billion *galaxies* (10^11) in the universe.

So there are very roughly 10^22 stars in the universe.

10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000

This is so big we can't conceive of what it means.

(And apologies if I've got some arithmetic awryv there, it's possible!)

What we don't know is how likely other technological societies are.

Very simple life started on earth quite early, so it seems likely, but not certain, that there will be life elsewhere.

But complex life came much later, taking several billion years. Technological development has been present really only in the last few thousand years, out of 4 billion.

It could be that the steps from simple to complex, and complex to intelligent, and intelligent to technological societies are all very, very unlikely and we're unique. It's impossible to know.

What we can say is that communication with alien intelligence is almost certainly impossible. The distances are too far, and the speed of light too slow.

It’s time that’s the issue. Intelligent life will be incredibly optimistically around for another hundred thousand years or so. Very likely wiped out long before that either by our own stupidity or by ai. The chances of two intelligent life forms existing in the blink of an eye period of the same tine is approaching 0
 

Ming the Merciless

There is no mercy
Location
Inside my skull
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OP
OP
gavroche

gavroche

Getting old but not past it
Location
North Wales
I am not a mathematicien or a scientist or cosmologist, just a simple guy who can't believe we are alone in the universe, given its huge dimension. Even if we were to receive signals from out of space, these signals will probably be thousands of earth years old , same as signals from us will be thousands of earth years old and we will be extinct by the time they are received out there. I just trust my guts feelings as it would be very sad indeed if we were a one off.
 

Beebo

Firm and Fruity
Location
Hexleybeef
I am not a mathematicien or a scientist or cosmologist, just a simple guy who can't believe we are alone in the universe, given its huge dimension. Even if we were to receive signals from out of space, these signals will probably be thousands of earth years old , same as signals from us will be thousands of earth years old and we will be extinct by the time they are received out there. I just trust my guts feelings as it would be very sad indeed if we were a one off.
This has been posted before. But our own radio waves haven’t even come close to penetrating a 10th of the galaxy yet. So the chance of ever getting radio waves to other galaxies is impossible.


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