Am going to miss these COVID threads (in NACA), but the sub-forum's furloughing (or redundancy), as they say at the end of a work meeting ending early (on-line) "will give us some time back!(?)" People attempting to score political brownie points has been tiresome, but mostly attenuated by sharing of on topic information and opinions.
Is Scotland's massive spike being caused by reopening schools? No, young adults drove the initial spike, which is subsiding and only now is school related growth taking its place in the data. England and Wales follow (term starts next month) and and a retrospective of the case data will display the effect of all pupils back in school (with some NPI (masking +) here in the SW).
Why can't we get on with vaccinating kids sharpish, like some other countries are doing? Will that will fix that issue?
As children are rarely going to hospital or getting ill, them catching the virus isn't so much of an "issue" though it does adversely affect their schooling and that of others (bubble) and (SAGE)
"subsequent consequences for parents and carers, and the wider workforce implications". It's their contribution to spreading the virus which is an issue whilst even a small %age of adults (O/18) remain unvaccinated. (+14 days from second dose this is currently 24% but will be down to roughly 16% by end Sep). Heterogeneous vaccination rates will also adversely affect things.
16 and 17 year olds:
JCVI Advice
Not all the expert bodies out there have agreed on vaccinating non-vulnerable U/16s. JCVI appear to be deliberating on this and the press are hinting we expect a verdict at some point. MHRA gave the 'OK' 8 weeks ago:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57358446
In Germany, aiui, the government have overruled their scientific panel (STIKO) in decided to vaccinate adolescents. We'll see if JCVI update their guidance; in England the government is legally bound to follow that; Scotland's government would likely choose to rubber stamp it, but don't have to.
Comment from SAGE documents (recent):
SAGE (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies) says it is still difficult to work out whether schools are drivers of transmission, or simply reflecting the spread of the virus in the communities where they are located. -
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58357021 2