Coronavirus outbreak

[kingrollo]

The USA
GOP blocking coronavirus bill — because it limits how much drugmakers can charge for a vaccine: report

 

[Pale Rider]

It's gone crazy here in Ozland. Our local supermarket toilet-roll shelves
View attachment 507142

People are obviously crapping themselves.

 

[kingrollo]

What are chances of surviving this ?

Say 40% of the population get it - and 98% of those who get it survive ?

My odds are a bit lower as I have asthma - but I reckon my odds of not getting at all - or getting it and surviving ...99.5%........s

But I m not a mathematician !!!!!

 

[PK99]

Comprehensive and authoritative article on state of play March 4, 2020

https://www.sciencenews.org/article...QurdwRuyoNc0_ZHz1lIfgHCOZKTRE4fpuxBfixl0zrwzw

 

[rualexander]

A more optimistic expert outlook, the sort I like.

https://theunionjournal.com/leading-doctor-claims-coronavirus-isnt-as-deadly-as-feared/

Shame it seems to have been written by a robot or google translate or something?!

 

[Dave7]

What are chances of surviving this ?

Say 40% of the population get it - and 98% of those who get it survive ?

My odds are a bit lower as I have asthma - but I reckon my odds of not getting at all - or getting it and surviving ...99.5%........s

But I m not a mathematician !!!!!

Its quite simple to compute. You take the 40% X 98% then take away the number you first thought of....simps

 

[nickyboy]

What are chances of surviving this ?

Say 40% of the population get it - and 98% of those who get it survive ?

My odds are a bit lower as I have asthma - but I reckon my odds of not getting at all - or getting it and surviving ...99.5%........s

But I m not a mathematician !!!!!

Your maths is correct. But you can dramatically skew that 99.5% number by adopting all the measures being talked about; hand washing, social distancing etc etc. Basically, you can shove yourself into the 60% that won't catch it by doing these things. Don't do these things and you'll probably be in the 40% (and thus your chance of death increases to 2% based on your numbers)

 

[kingrollo]

Your maths is correct. But you can dramatically skew that 99.5% number by adopting all the measures being talked about; hand washing, social distancing etc etc. Basically, you can shove yourself into the 60% that won't catch it by doing these things. Don't do these things and you'll probably be in the 40% (and thus your chance of death increases to 2% based on your numbers)

I am asthmatic and I have continued to go to the gym ...the plus side this keeps my cardio v better ....but afterwards I use the shared shower .......so does this even up - or should I bin the gym (it's a gym where I work ...at a hospital)

 

[Rusty Nails]

I am asthmatic and I have continued to go to the gym ...the plus side this keeps my cardio v better ....but afterwards I use the shared shower .......so does this even up - or should I bin the gym (it's a gym where I work ...at a hospital)

I would have thought there'd be a greater likelihood of infection from using the gym equipment after people sweating on it and using their hands after they may have touched their mouths or noses.

Every public interaction carries a risk, you just have to decide how cautious/ultracautious/blasé you want to be.

I worry more about my son, who has health issues, and has no option but to travel to and from work by crowded bus every day, 40 minutes each way.

 

[Landsurfer]

As probably posted earlier ..... We have tens of thousands of deaths every winter from Winter Flu ..... total flu-related deaths during 2017-2018 was estimated to be 79,000 ..... .....
And not a mass national panic in sight.
So why now ....... ?

 

[Milzy]

As probably posted earlier ..... We have tens of thousands of deaths every winter from Winter Flu ..... 2013/ 2014 winter it was over a 100K .....
And not a mass national panic in sight.
So why now ....... ?

It's a conspiracy.

 

[Landsurfer]

It's a conspiracy.

Sorry updated .....

 

[Milzy]

Sorry updated .....

It's a global experiment. In the future biological virus weapons may be used to damage economies and sway stock markets. It's not all black & white. A school has been closed in Rotherham not very far from me. It's disgraceful.

 

[nickyboy]

As probably posted earlier ..... We have tens of thousands of deaths every winter from Winter Flu ..... total flu-related deaths during 2017-2018 was estimated to be 79,000 ..... .....
And not a mass national panic in sight.
So why now ....... ?

FFS, read the science and then come back if you still don't know why the WHO and world governments are mobilised

To quote the Director General of the WHO today:

"This is not a drill.

This is not the time to give up.

This is not a time for excuses.

This is a time for pulling out all the stops.

Countries have been planning for scenarios like this for decades. Now is the time to act on those plans"-@DrTedros #COVID19 #coronavirus

 

[kingrollo]

As probably posted earlier ..... We have tens of thousands of deaths every winter from Winter Flu ..... total flu-related deaths during 2017-2018 was estimated to be 79,000 ..... .....
And not a mass national panic in sight.
So why now ....... ?

How many times .....

1.) There is a vaccination for seasonal flu

2.) The mortality rate for seasonal flu is much lower than Corona virus

3.) Maybe because there is no vaccination - but the rate that coronavirus can be passed on would seem much higher

There is no point panicking buying 600 bog rolls etc - but this is much more serious than seasonal flu - there really is no comparison.