Coronavirus outbreak

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gavroche

Getting old but not past it
Location
North Wales
We should all go to the USA until it is over then as , we all know, they have God on their side.:okay:
 

greenmark

Guru
Location
Geneva
A virologist was on BBC news earlier, and a shame these comments don't get published more widely.

They said that most of the information they were using to make judgements was from the gigantic cruise ship where loads of people got infected. Unfortunately he wasn't given enough time to say what the pluses and minuses of basing on this data was. He said based on the cruise ship and reasonably advanced health systems it was 5x more fatal than seasonal flu, which meant COVID-19 might kill about 0.5% of patients, but that it was ball park figure seemed to be about twice as likely to be caught/spread than many other flus. He also had commentary about the speed and health consequences of managing it. That a slowdown outside of winter was more manageable. Be interesting to see print versions.

The cruise ship in question is the Diamond Princess. It is where every passenger was tested.
Of the 700 or so that tested positive, about half were not showing any symptoms. Some have developed symptoms later.
34 remain serious, and about 5 are critical.

Two more passengers died today, bringing the total to 6 so far.
The passengers are generally older than the general population. But they are being treated in a very advanced healthcare system. It seems the expert's estimate was a little premature. If more passengers succumb we might be looking at a mortality rate closer to 1%.
 

MichaelO

Guru
The cruise ship in question is the Diamond Princess. It is where every passenger was tested.
Of the 700 or so that tested positive, about half were not showing any symptoms. Some have developed symptoms later.
34 remain serious, and about 5 are critical.

Two more passengers died today, bringing the total to 6 so far.
The passengers are generally older than the general population. But they are being treated in a very advanced healthcare system. It seems the expert's estimate was a little premature. If more passengers succumb we might be looking at a mortality rate closer to 1%.
The ship had 3,711 on board (including crew), with the vast majority staying on board during the quarantine period. Surprised "only" 700 tested positive, given the (relatively) confined space they were in.
 

Rocky

Hello decadence
The ship had 3,711 on board (including crew), with the vast majority staying on board during the quarantine period. Surprised "only" 700 tested positive, given the (relatively) confined space they were in.
And tragically 6 have died.
 

nickyboy

Norven Mankey
Now had 3 European customers decline my expert services due to Coronavirus fears....
Business travel is grinding to a halt. I've postponed a trip that would have required me to be away for a couple of weeks in March as I have no way of knowing what the places I will transit through or visit will look like then
 

Ming the Merciless

There is no mercy
Location
Inside my skull
The young do not have a well developed immune system, elderley / sedentary people have a greatly shrunken thymus. The thymus is where the T cells of the immune system mature. So although apparently healthy their immune system has much reduced ability to quickly react to foreign pathogens. If the foreign pathogens / viruses can quickly gain the upper hand before the immune system gets a hand on it, it can lead to organ failure, and ultimately death. Vaccinations involve weakened forms of viruses to prime the immune system, so it can quickly recognise and react to a virus. There are currently no vaccinations for Covid19.
 
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Archie_tect

De Skieven Architek... aka Penfold + Horace
Location
Northumberland
Played badminton as usual this morning. Everyone's a healthy 60+.

In passing one man casually mentioned, as we were packing up, that he'd returned home on a charter flight from a 4 night break in Tenerife yesterday, and that he stayed near to the outbreak hotel! We were not overly impressed that he seemed unaware of any risk as he could've easily stayed away for a couple of weeks...
 
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