Coronavirus outbreak

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Agree - and I don't pretend to be in possession of the full facts - but wasn't it obvious mid Jan that this was going to be as bad as it is now getting ? - Had we acted then, would we be more prepared now ?
The scale didn't become clear until later than that. We vaguely knew that something bad was going down in an obscure part of China and it was apparently very bad, but hey they have weird animal diseases all the time and little ever seems to come of it.

It hadn't travelled far and containment measures seemed to be working.

Once it became clear to epidemiologists that it had reached Italy and containment had failed, we had an opportunity to get ahead of the curve. We do not have a porous border like mainland Europe does.

Had we acted decisively then we'd have a few hundred cases, with little local transmission and an ability to contain it without having to shutter the entire country.

Instead we let it spread unobserved for weeks. We have literally no idea how many people are infected. My friend has all the symptoms, he reckons he caught it in a fast food restaurant in Glasgow city centre - a place that was, before the shutdown, visited by thousands of people a day.

Edit: curses, ninja'd by @nickyboy
I swear I didn't know your post existed until after I finished and posted mine.
 

Unkraut

Master of the Inane Comment
Location
Germany
I've just been watching a couple of German girls taking apart conspiracy theories and fake news/misinformation. Extremely well done.

One example which I hadn't seen was an interview with an Italian doctor stating quite clearly that they hadn't had any deaths and that there was no virus. Turns out what he said was true - except the interview was in mid February. That was the case back then, but in a new interview he talked of the unfolding disaster happening in northern Italy at the moment. It was instructive that the far-right AfD are taken in by such claims as believing this to be some government 'plan'.

It's easy with hindsight to wish more could have been done earlier, but generally the reaction has been pretty good and lessons learned as things have become clearer. The main exceptions are the UK and the US, but in the US it is worse as their healthcare system doesn't cover the whole population like the UK one does.
 

stowie

Legendary Member
One example which I hadn't seen was an interview with an Italian doctor stating quite clearly that they hadn't had any deaths and that there was no virus. Turns out what he said was true - except the interview was in mid February. That was the case back then, but in a new interview he talked of the unfolding disaster happening in northern Italy at the moment. It was instructive that the far-right AfD are taken in by such claims as believing this to be some government 'plan'.

I know in this world of everyone being able to have an opinion my following statement is frowned upon, but people are taken in by claims because they are morons, or are so desperate for confirmation of their pre-existing prejudices that anything reinforcing them is leapt upon like a terrier on a lamb chop.

It only takes a moment of consideration. There is video of people ill in hospital, of doctors describing the situation, reporters on the ground and citizens posting pictures online. For this government plan to work, it needs all these people to be "in on it". A deception of truly gargantuan proportions. And involving no-one who decides to blow the whole scheme. Frankly these people must have a far higher opinion of the efficiency of governments than me if they believe them capable of this level of organisation.

It's easy with hindsight to wish more could have been done earlier, but generally the reaction has been pretty good and lessons learned as things have become clearer. The main exceptions are the UK and the US, but in the US it is worse as their healthcare system doesn't cover the whole population like the UK one does.

The US has the resources and physical medical infrastructure to manage the problem. They need to socialise the availability of these resources to combat this extraordinary medical emergency. Unfortunately they chose a president and administration that are a bunch of loons.
 

MarkF

Guru
Location
Yorkshire
I don't know if she is a good nurse or not, but she's a bloody clever media operator.

There are professional campaigners who work at their cause for months and cannot get a fraction of the traction she achieved in a couple of minutes.

But, unsurprisingly, loads are jumping on the bandwagon. I don't do FB but plenty of our staff have jumped in. One whine I was shown yesterday claiming disgusting behaviour towards her by two male visitors for not wearing a mask, it got a ton of sympathetic responses and has caused a right stir in our hospital. Knowing the woman, the area that is was claimed to have taken place in and the prose she used, I am 90%+ certain is was all made up and I would hope that the outcry doesn't result in a demand for the CCTV footage. (No visitors have been in for 3 days).
 
generally the reaction has been pretty good and lessons learned as things have become clearer. The main exceptions are the UK and the US, but in the US it is worse as their healthcare system doesn't cover the whole population like the UK one does.
The UK government's reaction has been very sluggish but it's finally starting to get into motion, weeks after it needed to.

The US, however, I don't think they have any concept of how utterly screwed they are.
Just looking at flightradar, you'd think it was business as usual.
So many people there are a hospital visit away from bankruptcy and total destitution.
Many are treating it like it's a joke or no big deal or a sign that Jeebus is coming to save them, or a liberal media hoax to discredit their saviour the Holy Cheeto.

I hate being a worst-case kind of guy but the US's current trajectory looks truly, truly dire.
If I were Mexico I'd be offering to pay for the wall.
 

tom73

Guru
Location
Yorkshire
For me, I would ike it if the government puts a plan in place with companies to enable key equipment to be manufactured at short notice in future, whether that be ventilators, decontamination units etc. It's unrealistic for us to have these in stock "just ion case" as the servicing and maintenance would be prohibitive and they could become unsafe or out of date relatively quickly so an ability to switch manufacturing at speed would be welcome.

It's sounds so simple and practical thing to have in place. which means it's behold a government to think of it sadly.
Though I'm sure that I've seen in a program about the old QE2 that any cruise ship registered in Uk.
Has to have built into the plans the ability to be converted to a troop ship. As what happen in the Falklands war.
So with a bit of planing anything is possible

The other thing about any stockpile is now nothing is a secret so having some old hanger full of stuff.
Any Government would have either some reporter milking it or an MP using it to bash the other side.
Then having every one and the cat on SM going on about the cost. Everyone has something to bad to say when we go it.
Now we need it everyone has a go saying why did we not have loads of X,Y,Z
 

tom73

Guru
Location
Yorkshire
To be fair to the police, the drink driving and speeding is horrendous in North Yorkshire. They are probably also motivated from that point of view a well. They'll be people driving to their mates houses in other north yorkshire villages getting blind drunk and driving back.
Most of the drink driving in North Yorkshire is in and around Harrogate mostly the ladies that lunch.
i'm happy for them to do what ever it takes to get he message out.
 

tom73

Guru
Location
Yorkshire
Looks like social distancing to me...bit of a waste of police time there I think.I live near a busy road.Ill pass more people walking to the shops than I would driving a couple of miles to the countryside for a walk.

Most of the cars when regs checked came from miles away not locals.
Yesterday they had to deal with a large group near the Snake Pass enjoying a picnic and shisha. They'd come from Manchester, Sheffield and Ipswich. We can afford this level of I don't give a ....
 
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