How do you figure out there are lower deaths in the UK this time round? Peak rate is lower but total deaths is higher so far.
?
Over 40,000 fatalities in the first wave. Half that (so far) in this one.
Plus the clinical evidence -
published clinical evidence - showing that better treatment has lowered the case fatality rate. Then there's the evidence that it's younger people who're catching it. Better treatment and a less vulnerable population will inevitably lead to fewer deaths.
Though I expect fatalities to remain quite high, because I'm not convinced that this new and improved tier system will be particularly effective. Coupled with the easing of restrictions over Christmas, it's sadly likely that we'll see a third peak in mid-January.