while Lancaster with fewer cases is in tier 3! Wish they would use the evidence. Surely biggest concern must be London with higher values and still rising.
Lancashire is in tier 3 because "While there have been improvements in some areas, case rates and the proportion of tests which are positive for covid-19 remain high. Case rates in over 60s are very high (over 200 per 100,000) in 6 lower tier local authorities. There is still pressure on the NHS in this region."
Carlisle is in tier 2 because "The picture in Cumbria is broadly improving although case rates in Carlisle and South Lakeland are increasing – with increases likely due to a large school outbreak. Case rates in over 60s are above 100 per 100,000 in Carlisle and Barrow-in-Furness. These case rates are too high for allocation to Tier 1 but Cumbria’s trajectory does currently not warrant inclusion in Tier 3."
Hancock's written answer also says "Taken as a whole, the situation in London has stabilised at a similar case rate and positivity to other parts of the country in Tier 2."
Disagree about which evidence they've used, or the action levels they've chosen, if you like (as I do), but they have actually seemed to use some evidence this time.