That point in whether he is actually nominated or not does seem to have gone very quiet considering we are on the day before the vote.
In terms of counting votes said to be in hand I would never bank on that until the vote is actually cast.
In the Olympics, it certainly seems like its very easy to buy votes from Africa, South America and the Caribean countries. Maybe promises to hold events in their countries is a good influencers and it's also easy to imagine that votes would be cheaper to buy in manioc these countries. Personally, I believe that when the chief pig allows a few ofthe little piggies to get their snouts in the trough too, the little ones will prefer that big piggy to anew one who might just stop them in future.
I prefer to see the vote before I believe this is over because anything is possible in an organisation like the UCI.