Are we being forced to go electric?

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icowden

Veteran
Location
Surrey
I think AiG might mean energy density.
The battery pack for a 100 mile range in a car, say, is a lot bigger and heavier than a 2-3 gallon fuel tank. And the battery pack on my bike (range about 25 miles) is half the size of the fuel tank on my old Honda C50, which did about 170 miles on a fill.

Ah OK. That's fair enough. As we have said, battery tech at the moment is still in its infancy. I have no doubt that it will improve significantly. For example the battery in an ID4 is about 630kg. With the new superdense CATL batteries the same 83kw battery would weigh about 170kg. So within a few years we could be looking at longer ranges and much lighter batteries. Which presumably also means the batteries are smaller and easier to swap out / maintain.
 
I think AiG might mean energy density.
The battery pack for a 100 mile range in a car, say, is a lot bigger and heavier than a 2-3 gallon fuel tank. And the battery pack on my bike (range about 25 miles) is half the size of the fuel tank on my old Honda C50, which did about 170 miles on a fill.

Thank you, that's what I meant, poor communication on my part.

Partly because of this, I remain sceptical that replacement of the car and truck and bus fleet on a 1:1 basis will be as possible as optimistic projections suggest.
 

classic33

Leg End Member
Ah OK. That's fair enough. As we have said, battery tech at the moment is still in its infancy. I have no doubt that it will improve significantly. For example the battery in an ID4 is about 630kg. With the new superdense CATL batteries the same 83kw battery would weigh about 170kg. So within a few years we could be looking at longer ranges and much lighter batteries. Which presumably also means the batteries are smaller and easier to swap out / maintain.
Using that logic, petrol tech is still in its infancy.
 

Milzy

Guru
There's less emissions. Some people run their EV entirely on solar.

A petrol car is always going to be 100% polluting.

Why don’t they push for planting more trees then? ICE sales are doing well and I can’t see us been forced to go electric at all.
 

icowden

Veteran
Location
Surrey
The 2030 sales deadline is written into law. For all sorts of reasons I can't see that changing. Folk will be 'forced' go go battery or else get the bus.
No they won't. They can continue to drive Diesel and Petrol cars. They will just have to be second hand or plug in hybrid until 2035 and then just second hand. Once no new petrol or diesel cars are being sold, you can still drive the second hand ones (as long as it isn't into a ULEZ zone or suchlike), although you may see petrol and diesel costs increase and the availability of petrol stations decrease as demand drops. No-one knows how quickly that will happen.

By 2030 we should see EVs costing similar prices to ICE cars now, as well as increased range and decreased weight.
 

classic33

Leg End Member
I'm still waiting on my own flying car that will take me anywhere I want to go.

After all, all the predictions were that we'd all soon be able to have one of them. That was back in the early 70's though
 

Drago

Legendary Member
To be fair to Tesla - and I'm not a fan for many reasons - even the Daily Mail seem to have conceded their battery alarmism is utter bollards as they have discovered several Teslas still going well with over 300k miles on them.
 

tyred

Legendary Member
Location
Ireland
I'm still waiting on my own flying car that will take me anywhere I want to go.

After all, all the predictions were that we'd all soon be able to have one of them. That was back in the early 70's though

I thought Ford had done that in the 1960s.

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