Are we being forced to go electric?

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Jameshow

Veteran
There Is a second hand EV market but it is small and still expensive as the early adopters trade up. There are not many third or fourth hand vehicles . What we will see as we approach the ICE deadline is a very large and cheap pool of ICE vehicles.

I doubt it as many people will go out and buy one to retain the last of the ice cars.

The ice deadline is for manufacturers not for usage.
 

jowwy

Can't spell, Can't Punctuate....Sue Me
Even got Leccy campers now too

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Alex321

Guru
Location
South Wales
I doubt it as many people will go out and buy one to retain the last of the ice cars.

The ice deadline is for manufacturers not for usage.

Not sure how many people will be buying ICE cars close tio the deadline. Yes, the deadline is for manufacture, but petrol & diesel forecourts will rapidly become much less common.

There will certainly be some people doing that, but not sure it will be as many as you think.
 

Fastpedaller

Über Member
If the dealers have to sell them by 31 Dec 2029, will we see new ICE cars being sold for peanuts and much cheaper than the used ice cars?
It's all very well buying a car on mileage (forever fiddled by some), but this may not relate to battery life. Will the displays in the EV car give an indication of battery 'health' and will that be the target of manipulation?
 

icowden

Veteran
Location
Surrey
Will the displays in the EV car give an indication of battery 'health' and will that be the target of manipulation?
Yes, and it would take someone with some real tech skills, not least because the data is passed from car to cloud. It would be a lot harder than using a power drill to wind back the mileage.
 

simongt

Guru
Location
Norwich
To add interest to the EV debate, it appears that the CEO of Kia has stated / claimed that building a budget priced EV simply isn't economically vialbe because of the price of the batteries; the most expensive part of an EV. with the 'average' price of an EV being around £50k., this is beyond the reach of many of us without having to take out a sizeable loan. Even the dinky Fiat 500 EV is currently priced at £30k. with a range of 'up to' 199 miles. For comparison, the petrol 500 is around £16k.
Hmm, maybe he has a point - ? :whistle:
 
To add interest to the EV debate, it appears that the CEO of Kia has stated / claimed that building a budget priced EV simply isn't economically vialbe because of the price of the batteries; the most expensive part of an EV. with the 'average' price of an EV being around £50k., this is beyond the reach of many of us without having to take out a sizeable loan. Even the dinky Fiat 500 EV is currently priced at £30k. with a range of 'up to' 199 miles. For comparison, the petrol 500 is around £16k.
Hmm, maybe he has a point - ? :whistle:

He said -
"The electrification of the small car is really difficult, economically speaking"

Plenty of EVs less than 50k. If Kia don't provide an electric small car - others will.
 

icowden

Veteran
Location
Surrey
To add interest to the EV debate, it appears that the CEO of Kia has stated / claimed that building a budget priced EV simply isn't economically vialbe because of the price of the batteries; the most expensive part of an EV. with the 'average' price of an EV being around £50k., this is beyond the reach of many of us without having to take out a sizeable loan. Even the dinky Fiat 500 EV is currently priced at £30k. with a range of 'up to' 199 miles. For comparison, the petrol 500 is around £16k.
Hmm, maybe he has a point - ? :whistle:
Or maybe he's just spouting nonsense?

https://www.parkers.co.uk/electric-... decade, the,as demand has outstripped supply.

We are seeing a small increase in battery cost due to very high demand at the moment. But over time:
ev-batt-prices-bnef2.jpg

So we are currently at £87 per kwh. The battery in my ID4 therefore cost £7221. A replacement DCI Diesel engine for a Renault Scenic costs about £5000 new. So the cost in my ID4 is not really about the battery at all. It's about the fact that all of the tech is new. New techniques are needed, new skills, new tooling, new manufacturing plants, new machinery is needed. The cost of that investment is being recouped. We are pretty close to a battery being the same cost as a combustion engine.

It's estimated that the cost of a Tesla Model 3 in materials is about £15,000. The next £10,000 is labour costs. Everything above that is profit which is needed to build more manufacturing to fulfil demand. Once companies have fully tooled up and refined their build processes, prices will drop. Competition will also cause price drops.
 

Alex321

Guru
Location
South Wales
To add interest to the EV debate, it appears that the CEO of Kia has stated / claimed that building a budget priced EV simply isn't economically vialbe because of the price of the batteries; the most expensive part of an EV. with the 'average' price of an EV being around £50k., this is beyond the reach of many of us without having to take out a sizeable loan. Even the dinky Fiat 500 EV is currently priced at £30k. with a range of 'up to' 199 miles. For comparison, the petrol 500 is around £16k.
Hmm, maybe he has a point - ? :whistle:

The "average" price of ICE cars is beyond the reach of most of us without taking out a significant loan.

But few people buy a car brand new that is anywhere near the "average" price.
 

youngoldbloke

The older I get, the faster I used to be ...
The "average" price of ICE cars is beyond the reach of most of us without taking out a significant loan.

But few people buy a car brand new that is anywhere near the "average" price.

- and add on the price of installing a charger. £1000+ often quoted. Seems you are having to spend a lot before saving.
 
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