Weather forecasting bah.

[fossyant]

Hmm, still not looking as good as promised, this warmer dryer weather keeps moving another 5 days away each day. Perpetual promises ?
Bike's are going to Wales tonight, better be good next few days. MrsF taking her hybrid this time - she's not used it since getting the squidgy bike (Full suspension). Hopes she remembers v brakes aren't quite as good as hydraulic discs.

 

[ColinJ]

The best example I have of the difficulty of forecasting accurately & in an understandable way is from one running of my Kernow 600. The 4th leg was a return from Penzance to Bude. Forecast said showers. Wind was Southwesterly. Most riders arrived at Bude dry, some got a bit damp along the way. One rider arrived drenched, having ridden under a rain cloud all the way.

I did the Northwest Passage audax from Rochdale one year with a CycleChat member. We were told to expect dry conditions until our run back from Blackburn over a couple of big hills, when heavy rain was likely. We got to the top of one of the hills when my companion turned to me and said that the forecast was hopelessly wrong - if it had been right, we would be getting soaked. I pointed down the hill into the valley below - the rain was hammering down only 3 or 4 kms from us! I'm sure that the forecast was right for 90% of the area; we just happened to have climbed out of the rain zone.

 

[SpokeyDokey]

Weather forecasts are pretty crap here in The Lakes - I presume that the forecasters are not on performance related pay otherwise they'd be broke. Maybe they are?

 

[screenman]

Sea weed hanging outside is the answer, if it is wet it is raining or just had done, if you get wet going outside to get a closer look it is still raining, or somebody has thrown water at you or squirted you with a hose.

 

[Dirk]

Guaranteed sign that rain is imminent is when the farmers go muck spreading.
They pay for farming specific forecasts which are supposedly far more accurate than the ones we plebs get.
It's certainly an accurate pointer around here. It always rains the day after muck spreading.

 

[postman]

I love the smell of muck .Proper countryside smell that is.

 

[I like Skol]

I love the smell of muck .Proper countryside smell that is.

Not so much the treated sewage sludge they seem to spray predominantly these days. Rarely see/smell 'proper' muck spreading anymore

 

[SpokeyDokey]

On Saturday the whole week ahead was supposed to fair - tomorrow is rain all the way and Thursday up to 1pm is torrential.

Waste of time looking at forecasts.

 

[Brandane]

On Saturday the whole week ahead was supposed to fair - tomorrow is rain all the way and Thursday up to 1pm is torrential.

Waste of time looking at forecasts.

They got today right 🌧🌧🌧, lots of it!

 

[Fram]

Berneray

 

[Fab Foodie]

View attachment 537413
Berneray

One of my favorite places.....

 

[Fab Foodie]

We use the Norwegians, tend to be pretty accurate for us:
https://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Deal~7295300/

Looks like a bike ride at 1700 and a pint on the sea-front might be in order.....

 

[Notafettler]

Not so much the treated sewage sludge they seem to spray predominantly these days. Rarely see/smell 'proper' muck spreading anymore

That's been illegal for sometime. On the other hand what is "treated sewage". Treated with what? Old Spice?

 

[Notafettler]

Not a fan of their rural prediction. I know they say you got to knock of upto 3 degrees in rural areas but I have crashed when it was not supposed to drop below 4 degrees. Going down a bit of a hill speed up about midnight road looked a bit shiny. Stopped pedaling bike went from under me, no warning at all. Spikes on as soon as I see a 4 degree in the weather forecast. It hurt.