I seem to recall that the categorisations depend on how many and how hard the climbs are that day so they cab divvy out some KOM points on routes that aren't particularly tough
No, Mattias Skjelmose will win.
I never forget MVDP
The bookies and pundits always seem to underestimate how often the top favourites crash, get ill, whatever. At least compared to other sports*
Vingegaard and Pogacar have to stay upright to be 1 and 2 (in whatever order). But cyclists have a habit of not staying upright. Hence there is often value to be found. For example, Skjelmose is 8-1 to finish on the podium because the bookies are assuming positions 1 and 2 (so he is a competition for the one podium place left) are filled but history shows that's not the case
It would be possible to bet on a podium finish for Skjelmose, Yates, Mas and O'Connor and you only need one to make it to be in the money
Maybe time for the UCI to set definitions globally of climb rankings and maybe with a wider list of categorisation. A couple of local climbs are apparently Cat 3according to Strava but are vastly different. One is a combination couple of stiff climbs, gentler ones, and a downgrade. The other is more a constant slog.
Formula? I thought the cat was what gear Henri Degrange's car got down to when he reccied the route!Yeah I always thought it was kind of relative, so a medium hump on a flat stage may be cat 3, but the same hump on a stage that finishes up a mountain wouldn't be categorised.
The formula in @Adam4868 's rouleur article - length × gradient squared - is interesting. Where's my spreadsheet?
The Tour doesn't reach any of the biggest cities until Friday 7 July and that's Bordeaux which wasn't the first to kick off, although RAID have now been deployed there too, according to Sud Ouest. Because of this year's Basque start and single SW-to-E sweep, the race avoids the bigger flashpoints of Marseille, Lyon, Toulouse and Lille... just have to hope things are cooled before the final day in Paris!Hope events in France are not going to cause an issue https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-66049895
although the odds on the peleton being halted by some nutters have probably shortened somewhat.
Cav humble yet bullish in https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2023/jun/29/mark-cavendish-tour-de-france-cycling