Coronavirus outbreak

[marinyork]

Study estimates only 7% of stockholm had virus by 1st May

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...dies-by-end-of-april-study-sweden-coronavirus

Bad news as a low percentage for a country with few restrictions. Good news as it suggests social distancing or something else outside hard restrictions can stop huge swathes of a population getting the virus.

 

[deptfordmarmoset]

Study estimates only 7% of stockholm had virus by 1st May

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...dies-by-end-of-april-study-sweden-coronavirus

Bad news as a low percentage for a country with few restrictions. Good news as it suggests social distancing or something else outside hard restrictions can stop huge swathes of a population getting the virus.

Whereas it's estimated at only 5% in the UK outside London. The 17% estimate for London sounds about right to me, even a little low. I think many people had it before anybody really knew what it was.

 

[mjr]

Whereas it's estimated at only 5% in the UK outside London. The 17% estimate for London sounds about right to me, even a little low. I think many people had it before anybody really knew what it was.

So... Expect 390'000 UK deaths (excess not reported cases) unless a vaccine comes before everyone's caught it, a treatment is found, or something else saves us?

 

[Joey Shabadoo]

Whereas it's estimated at only 5% in the UK outside London. The 17% estimate for London sounds about right to me, even a little low. I think many people had it before anybody really knew what it was.

Ah, the hipster virus

 

[marinyork]

Whereas it's estimated at only 5% in the UK outside London. The 17% estimate for London sounds about right to me, even a little low. I think many people had it before anybody really knew what it was.

I'd tuned out of the news for a while so missed this today. If 17% is up to date, that sounds about right. If it's quite old data it sounds high (but that's good news).

The 5% rest of the country figure is interesting as I'd expect a bit of variation in parts of the north west and west midlands.

 

[marinyork]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-contact-tracing-group-warns-of-difficulties

first contract tracing in the UK regrettably comes up against a brick wall of issues.

 

[mjr]

I'd tuned out of the news for a while so missed this today. If 17% is up to date, that sounds about right. If it's quite old data it sounds high (but that's good news).

The 5% rest of the country figure is interesting as I'd expect a bit of variation in parts of the north west and west midlands.

Yeah, but the govt just sees us all as "not London".

 

[mjr]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-contact-tracing-group-warns-of-difficulties

first contract tracing in the UK regrettably comes up against a brick wall of issues.

Most vexing is it sounds like you call up the contact of an infected person, tell them to quarantine, they tell you to fark off and there's no back-up to make them.

 

[tom73]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...s-contact-tracing-group-warns-of-difficulties

first contract tracing in the UK regrettably comes up against a brick wall of issues.

Not looking good is it ?
None of this feels joined up or well thought out. The whole thing just feels like Hancock in a toy shop. Told you can only have one but want’s to try every thing and gets fed up and moves on to the next.

 

[midlife]

Not sure what would happen if I tested positive, I guess track and trace would identify I had contact today with three hospital departments.... multiple consultants, nurses, staff, admin. All not social distanced because of constraints in the size of the buildings.

Close 3 hospital departments and send all into isolation?

 

[newfhouse]

Most vexing is it sounds like you call up the contact of an infected person, tell them to quarantine, they tell you to fark off and there's no back-up to make them.

World beating, apparently.

 

[Rocky]

World beating, apparently.

I’d settle for virus beating.......

 

[tom73]

World beating, apparently.

Yep world beatingly bad after all he never said it would be world beating in a good way.

 

[tom73]

Not sure what would happen if I tested positive, I guess track and trace would identify I had contact today with three hospital departments.... multiple consultants, nurses, staff, admin. All not social distanced because of constraints in the size of the buildings.

Close 3 hospital departments and send all into isolation?

mmmmm not sure the call centre script let's them say oh S....
A clinical tracer would have to work out the risk and probably the clinical judgment would get lost in the system.

 

[mjr]

Yep world beatingly bad after all he never said it would be world beating in a good way.

That just reminds me of

From https://dilbert.com/strip/1993-02-18

The recent strips are virusy, if anyone likes that sort of thing. Edit: seems to start https://dilbert.com/strip/2020-04-20