Is anyone else concerned by the deaths to recovery ratio being recorded for Britain? As they currently stand, the
Public Heath England figures cite 1789 deaths and 135 recoveries from 25150 confirmed cases. This means that of all the "concluded" cases (i.e. all those that have resulted in either death or recovery) the vast majority (around 92%) are deaths.
I appreciate that recoveries might take longer to confirm than deaths (the former requiring a certain symptom-free period to be sure, while death is pretty obvious and conclusive!). It's also possible that this could also be explained by a low proportion of tests being carried out; and if so most likely being administered only in the most severe of cases (i.e. when people are admitted to hospital, which seems to be the case currently).
Still, I find this very concerning since every other country shows a much higher proportion of recoveries to deaths, with even Italy recording only around 45% of "concluded" cases as resulting in death compared to our 92%. This trend has also been fairly consistant throughout the whole process in both countries (as illustrated nicely in Wikipedia's timeline bar charts for both the
UK and
Italy); rather than showing any lag. Perhaps Italy's process for confirming recoveries are less stringent than ours?
This is also worrying given that we currently have around 25k confirmed cases and following Italy's example it's likely that this will increase by a factor of four or five before it levels out. If the mortality rate remains as it is now we're looking at the vast majority of those cases resulting in death, so potentially in the region of 100,000 fatalities
Can anyone shed any more light on this please?