Coronavirus outbreak

[Joey Shabadoo]

As said earlier, it’s been reckoned that 80% of the UK population might contract it. Like flu, the vast majority will shrug it off, some might not even notice it. But with a 2% mortality rate that’s potentially a million dead. More than both world wars combined and in a space of months, not years.
Lot of ifs and buts obviously, but any government who didn’t try to stop a million deaths would be hanging from lampposts.

 

[rualexander]

As said earlier, it’s been reckoned that 80% of the UK population might contract it.

Who's reckoned that figure?
Only 0.01% of the population in China have contracted it so far and new cases are starting to fall.
Even if many more have contracted it subclinically it's still a very small percentage.
Of course it may be different here but 80% seems a bit high?

 

[Joey Shabadoo]

Who's reckoned that figure?
Only 0.01% of the population in China have contracted it so far and new cases are starting to fall.
Even if many more have contracted it subclinically it's still a very small percentage.
Of course it may be different here but 80% seems a bit high?

Just a figure quoted on radio news programmes today. In China they’ve closed down cities and shut them off to the world. Can you see a western democracy getting away with that?

 

[slowmotion]

Who's reckoned that figure?
Only 0.01% of the population in China have contracted it so far and new cases are starting to fall.
Even if many more have contracted it subclinically it's still a very small percentage.
Of course it may be different here but 80% seems a bit high?

^^^^^^This!

I read that 2% of the people who caught it in China died. That may be the case, but do you really trust any statistics that come from that particular government? How many people didn't catch it? Eight years ago I had an operation. The surgeon came to see me the night before to sign consent forms. He said that 2% of patients die under general anaesthetic for no particular reason at all. That didn't seem to me to be any cause for concern.

Don't worry.

 

[Drago]

Who's reckoned that figure?
Only 0.01% of the population in China have contracted it so far and new cases are starting to fall.
Even if many more have contracted it subclinically it's still a very small percentage.
Of course it may be different here but 80% seems a bit high?

The government, using data from the WHO about the spread so far.

 

[Joey Shabadoo]

China hid bodies from the WHO during the SARS epidemic. Take their figures with a pinch of salt.

 

[midlife]

^^^^^^This!

I read that 2% of the people who caught it in China died. That may be the case, but do you really trust any statistics that come from that particular government? How many people didn't catch it? Eight years ago I had an operation. The surgeon came to see me the night before to sign consent forms. He said that 2% of patients die under general anaesthetic for no particular reason at all. That didn't seem to me to be any cause for concern.

Don't worry.

Mortality for a general anaesthetic is 1 in 100000 as often quoted, not sure what that is in percent?

 

[Joey Shabadoo]

Mortality for a general anaesthetic is 1 in 100000 as often quoted, not sure what that is in percent?

And anaesthetists are very careful to vet patients in advance to keep that figure as low as possible. My wife nearly died due to a reaction to anaesthetic in 2002 - no anaesthetist will agree to her desperately needed surgery now.

 

[MontyVeda]

a stat claiming that 80% of the UK population 'might' contract it should be taken with a pinch of salt.

 

[Blue Hills]

Face it Mrs Mainwaring we're doomed I tell you, doomed

Had to laugh the other day. A mail writer to one of the Metro freesheets the other day said something like "what's all this talk of 'pandemic', tell it like it is, it's a plague"

 

[midlife]

And anaesthetists are very careful to vet patients in advance to keep that figure as low as possible. My wife nearly died due to a reaction to anaesthetic in 2002 - no anaesthetist will agree to her desperately needed surgery now.

Sorry to hear that malignant hyperthermia?

 

[Smokin Joe]

There have probably been far more cases of people in China with the infection than reported as they spent some time trying to cover the extent up, so the death rate may be well below the stated 2%.

The countries most at risk are those with poor standards of hygiene, like China and Iran.

 

[Joey Shabadoo]

Sorry to hear that malignant hyperthermia?

Can’t remember exactly, her oxygen levels kept dropping and every time they stabilised her, it was at a lower level. They actually called a priest (but not her husband )

 

[nickyboy]

There have probably been far more cases of people in China with the infection than reported as they spent some time trying to cover the extent up, so the death rate may be well below the stated 2%.

The countries most at risk are those with poor standards of hygiene, like China and Iran.

Having lived in China I can tell you they are much keener on hand washing than we are. They are also much keener on mask wearing too

The countries most at risk are those with poorly resources healthcare systems (like Iran)

Now is not the time to panic. But we all really must up our game on basic hygiene. That's how we limit the spread

 

[vickster]

Having lived in China I can tell you they are much keener on hand washing than we are. They are also much keener on mask wearing too

The countries most at risk are those with poorly resources healthcare systems (like Iran)

Now is not the time to panic. But we all really must up our game on basic hygiene. That's how we limit the spread

They do spit a lot in China though...saw / heard lots of people hoiking up and gobbing in the street hardly a high level of hygiene