Not to be controversially getting everyone to be nice to everyone, but actually there is pretty much agreement across the board. The differences are cultural ones or how governments are run. The UK's advice doesn't really conflict with anything people have said about singapore or hong kong. Where the difference lies is that as in Italy, the social distancing and lockdown was widely ignored. Very widely ignored. So widely ignored in fact that it's quite interesting that peeps keep on posting about you're allowed to go out for a bike ride. I wonder why that is! This is probably not a point missed by our leaders, but is one missed multiple times by people on this thread who keep on yelling social distancing to everything and that it'll somehow magically work or that people pay attention. No one out there pays any attention to what's written here and not really too much to what Boris or anyone else says.
The fact is the above is not quite true, is it?
On 2nd March after the 1st Cobra meeting, Boris and his "experts" told us to wash our hands, and urged the public to "go about their business as usual".
That was after the bloodbath in Hubei and Daegu.
On 12th March, Boris and his "experts" announced we were going into the "delay" phase, all it meant was oldies should not go on cruises, schools should not take foreign trips, and people with cough self isolate for 7 days. That's it. I am pretty sure you mocked them yourself.
Here it is.
That was when the bloodbath was well underway in Lombardy.
My point is the government did not have to be so complacent about it, indeed they shouldn't have - with messages like that, who can blame folks here saying they are allowed to go on bike rides? Who can criticise their bravado, that they are free men unlike the Chinese, and so are having none of it?
The Government could/should have broadcast the disasters that unfolded, and the measures taken, in these other countries, and told some truths, like how many ICU beds we have free, and what 1000, 10000, and 100000 infected might mean.
I am not saying this to get some joy out of "I told you so" to anybody (and for the avoidance of doubt definitely not you), but it would be good if we can come out of this with: 1) a greater appreciation of other countries' experience - we are neither superior in our intellect nor resilience, and 2) less trusting of "experts" when what they say makes no sense to you. It is good to see
other experts have now managed to change their mind, but frankly the disastrous implication of the CMO/CSA' plan can be and was demonstrated on the back of an envelope, and we all know it, just some decided to leave either common sense or serious doubt at home.
Hong Kong putting everyone who's been abroad into 14 days quarantine. In 2 weeks, we've had 57 cases, 50 imported. The big risk we have is the virus coming back and starting a second wave just as we get on top of this after 7 weeks.
Yes. I suspect border control, combined with a test kit that produces quick result*, may well be the best course for the near future for territories that have clearly defeated the virus, like China, Singapore, Taiwan, Hongkong etc. and soon South Korea, and hopefully Britain in a few months. Until a vaccine has been found and proven safe, that is.
A "2nd wave" is therefore not inevitable.
The elephant in the room, is actually about the layoffs, the bankruptcies, and the resulting human tragedies. I don't know what the best considered answer is at this point, but if I were the government, my gut feeling is I would implement a social and economical safety net, WHATEVER IT COSTS, to minimise sufferings and to maximise the chance and speed of recovery.
In case it is not obvious, letting hundreds of thousands die first would not have lessened either the economical or the human tragedy, or made recovery quicker or faster, in fact the exact opposite. What about the depreciation of the £ from printing/borrowing money? All our neighbours are poorer too, their currencies will also depreciate, so does it really matter that much, and what better choice do any of us have anyway?
* a British company
has claimed they are developing a test that works on a drop of blood to give result in 10 minutes. If not them, I suspect others are also trying, and will succeed eventually.