recent study from the ONS suggests less than one per cent of the population have had covid-19, I can't see where the 19 million figure in the Mirror comes from.
My back of the envelope calculation makes that a 20% fatality rate from those injected.Reportedly one in 400, i.e. 0.25%
Stupid headlines in the Mirror and the Mail.
A recent study from the ONS suggests less than one per cent of the population have had covid-19, I can't see where the 19 million figure in the Mirror comes from.
The headline in the Mail about allowing teachers to be heroes really boils my pi$$, it is very easy to volunteer someone else to be a martyr.
Yes, that's right, I misused the figure in my post above, the ONS figures are for active cases, rather than people who have had covid-19 already. Based on other studies I have seen, though, figures in various places around the world vary between 1 and 5 percent of the population having had covid-19, based on antibody testing. I don't think that kind of study has been done in the UK yet, so still not clear where the 19 million comes from.From yesterday's Guardian:
[my bold]
"A new study from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggested that one in 400 people had the virus outside hospitals and care homes over the past two weeks, described by Prof Jonathan Van-Tam, the deputy chief medical officer for England, as “very low” circulation in the community."
So if I've understood correctly, that is (roughly) the number who are infectious in the community. So if i snog 400 random people in the street, I have a high chance of receiving a good dose. Just 50 and I will probably be OK
From the headline writer.Yes, that's right, I misused the figure in my post above, the ONS figures are for active cases, rather than people who have had covid-19 already. Based on other studies I have seen, though, figures vary between 1 and 5 percent of the population having had covid-19 in various places, based on antibody testing. I don't think that kind of study has been done in the UK yet, so still not clear where the 19 million comes from.
The problem is that this particular headline feeds into the false sense of security being encouraged by the government, and will make a second big spike more likely. It is irresponsible to say the least.From the headline writer.
Lurid headlines sell newspapers, "Nothing much happening" doesn't.
That was figure who currently have not ever had it. Figure who ever had it is probably between 5 and 10 percent. No way of knowing until the antibody test is ready and even then there will be questions.Reportedly one in 400, i.e. 0.25%