steverob
Guru
- Location
- Buckinghamshire
I think you're pretty much on the money there. Initial surge out the pen as usual should limit the leading pack to me, you, @Joffey, JB and at most one or two other riders.So what's the plan for JB tomorrow? If we can gap the other real contenders before the climb, then we can isolate JB which opens up various possibilities.
One scenario, if JB and one of us are together after the climb with the other two a little ways behind, the rider with JB refuses to pull. JB's left with the choice of letting our rider rest while JB works, or JB can soft pedal and let our other riders catch up.
Alternately we let JB go on the climb (only if he's alone), then work together to reel him in over the back half of the course.
If we're in a group with just JB, then we gap him off the back over and over ;-) Essentially we let one rider get a big enough gap to break the draft and the other two soft pedal to get behind JB. Make JB work out of the draft to catch up, then as he gets back in the draft and lays off power, one of the two in his draft surge around and we repeat the process to soften him up (with the previous surging rider tucked into JB's draft to recover and a teammate also in JB's draft resting, ready to help or take their turn surging).
Of course if JB has teammates or other riders with him, then those ideas don't work nearly as well :-)
The important thing then is to keep in contact with JB during the steepest part of the ascent - read @Whorty's excellent course preview above and as he correctly mentions, only that first part of the climb is anything to worry about. There's still then a chance to make up a small gap on the flatter parts of the climb before the banner. But then whoever does make it to the banner with JB, HAS to beat him at the line - if he gets the full 5 points on the KOM, then the rest of the race is pretty much moot.
If you're not in contact by the time we descend, then chances are you won't get back in contact before the desert sprint point (the only other Prime today) and once again, someone's got to stop JB taking max points here; ideally whoever took them on the first one. After that, he'll probably ease up and try to bring the group back together for the flat section for extra drafting - might be best to try the constantly rotating attacks strategy here.