Track racing, Rio 2016 **spoilers**

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deptfordmarmoset

Full time tea drinker
Location
Armonmy Way
 

deptfordmarmoset

Full time tea drinker
Location
Armonmy Way
What are we expecting from Cav today? Are the scratch race and elimination races good events for him?
Hard to tell from his TdF performance. He was in good form, was sprinting longer than he used to and, with something to prove, will have trained hard for his events. The track's a different matter though. By no means a banker but a good chance, I'd guess.
 

Slaav

Guru
Just walking myself through the different 'disciplines' in the Omnium and my thoughts would be:

1) Scratch race - Cav has to be in with a chance so top 3/win or if a fast race, then he could be as low as 10 or worse
2) Individual Pursuit - not Cav's strongest but he will have done a lot of pursuit training to try and race in the team pursuit and although a different skill set, it is still a pursuit so top 5
3) The (brilliant) Elimination race - again top 3 here simply due to his ability to explode high watts over short periods even when knackered :smile:
4) TT - 1km is short enough for Cav to top 5 again here but this one may trip him up? He is after all more of a racer than a disciplined TT'er?
5) Flying Lap - top 3? Or a win? 250m is not far off his perfect distance for his aero and sprint?
6) Points race - he is bu66ered! I think by here, he will be leading or top 3. This will 'encourage' the whole field to effectively mark him out of contention. If he tries anything, he will be shut down. He won't chase everything as I expect a fast pace generally to stifle too many attacks and 'laps'. Having said that, didn't he steal a march in a 'recent' Madison?? Despite being marked 'out of contention'?

Anyway, that's my prediction and I will take great pleasure in eating my hat when my punditry is shown up for what it is - nonsense :smile: :smile:
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
What are we expecting from Cav today?

He's not one of the favourites and is up against people who specialise in this event - Gaviria is world champion (Cav finished 6th in March), O'Shea and Boudat are former world champions, and Hansen was 2012 gold winner.

His best event in March was the elimination race, where he finished second to Gaviria.
 

oldroadman

Veteran
Location
Ubique
Are toe clips normal for these riders?
I think you may be simply seeing the extra wide security straps. Usual clipless pedals, but with the wattage and extreme efforts the straps hold everything in place.
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
Just walking myself through the different 'disciplines' in the Omnium and my thoughts would be:

As I'm completely clueless, I've looked at his results from the Worlds in March...

1) Scratch race - Cav has to be in with a chance so top 3/win or if a fast race, then he could be as low as 10 or worse

6th. No idea of the details of the race.

2) Individual Pursuit - not Cav's strongest

You're not wrong there - he was 13th in March, 8.4 seconds down on the winner (Gaviria)

3) The (brilliant) Elimination race - again top 3 here simply due to his ability to explode high watts over short periods even when knackered :smile:

Sounds about right. He was 2nd in March.

4) TT - 1km is short enough for Cav to top 5 again here but this one may trip him up? He is after all more of a racer than a disciplined TT'er?

12th. Only 2 seconds in it but that's a big margin over the distance.

5) Flying Lap - top 3? Or a win?

4th - less than one tenth of a second behind the winner, Viviani.

6) Points race - he is bu66ered!

7th on 25 points, winner got 55 points. Hardest one to predict, I guess.

However, I presume he's been working on this since March, so those results are probably meaningless. Will be very interesting to watch him anyway.
 

oldroadman

Veteran
Location
Ubique
The problem now with the omnium is that all the points gained in the points race count, which completely changes the focus of the whole event. It matters not if you are 15-20 points down, if you are able to take a lap in the points race (20) and at the same time pick up sprints along the way. The emphasis has swung very much in favour of the endurance riders and away from sprinters. While I think an elimination race is good entertainment, it can be a lottery and it has no place in a world or Olympic event.
 

HF2300

Insanity Prawn Boy
Beeb will be panicking now. James and Marchant, Cav, Kenny and Skinner in the cycling, Whitlock and Smith in the gymnastics in the gymnastics, Murray in the tennis, Rose in the golf, all on at the same time. I suspect we can look forward to a lot of confused channel hopping tonight.
 
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