Tour odds

[rich p]

Yellow
Alberto Contador 11/10
Lance Armstrong 7/2
Andy Schleck 7/1
Cadel Evans 9/1
Denis Menchov 14/1
Carlos Sastre 20/1
Levi Leipheimer 28/1
Roman Kreuziger 33/1
Robert Gesink 40/1
Michael Rogers 50/1
Franck Schleck 50/1
Luis Leon Sanchez 50/1
Linus Gerdemann 66/1
Christian Vandevelde 80/1
Juan Jose Cobo 80/1
Kim Kirchen 100/1
Andreas Kloden 100/1


Points jersey

Mark Cavendish 8/11
Oscar Freire 7/2
Thor Hushovd 5/1
Daniele Bennati 8/1
Heinrich Haussler 14/1
Gerald Ciolek 20/1
Tyler Farrar 20/1
Allan Davis

 

[yello]

Game over then, looks like Contador. I'll get on the phone to Prudhomme and get it cancelled. No point...

Thoughts....

- shorter odds on LA than I expected
- ditto Cav
- I somewhat strangely find myself thinking kindly of Cadel!
- surely there's a name missing from yellow? that can't be it?!?!
- might have a punt on Haussler...
- ...and maybe even Sastre

 

[rich p]

Bertie's too short and so is LA.
Cadel - you couldn't really could you Yello?

Maybe Sastre or Menchov for value?

I thought maybe Hushovd for green - will Cav blow in the hills!

 

[yello]

Cadel - you couldn't really could you Yello?:!

Hell no! He'll be top 5 I reckon but he just hasn't got the extra.

But I do suddenly find myself thinking that there's a dearth of choice. Maybe that's why LAs odds are so short?? I almost fancy my own chances!

Maybe the odds are reflecting that. I mean, maybe the race is for 2nd. Take Contador out of the mix and maybe it is anyone's? Maybe it's worth a flutter on someone like Sanchez?

 

[Paulus]

I have put my money on Andy Schleck. I got 13/2 at ladbrokes.

 

[John the Monkey]

Do Sastre and Menchov look underpriced to anyone else? Surprised to see Schleck & HRH above them, tbh.

 

[simon_brooke]

Bertie's too short and so is LA.
Cadel - you couldn't really could you Yello?

Maybe Sastre or Menchov for value?

I thought maybe Hushovd for green - will Cav blow in the hills!

Sastre is definitely good value at that price and so is Menchov. But Franck Schleck is a bargain. Yes, I know Andy's leader, but if anything happens to Andy (even if he misses a break and loses a chunk of time) I could see Bjarne switching to Frank as leader. And Saxo Bank are one heck of a team.

I'd hate to see Cadel win - he's such a blatant wheel-sucker.

 

[Crackle]

I was surprised at Menchov's odds, 14/1 seems pretty long considering he's just won the Giro and Sastre even longer. Mind you has any climber won it two years on the run and no Contador last year.

 

[Skip Madness]

I'd hate to see Cadel win - he's such a blatant wheel-sucker.

He's no more of a wheel-sucker than any of the other GC riders.

Andy Schleck's odds are too short short in my view - I really don't see him ahead of Evans and Menchov. Kreuziger's money isn't bad for a dangerous outsider.

 

[RabbitFood]

Ok so im new to cycling myseld but followed the TDF for years but this year got more involded in all the other tours adn races, anyway I have just got to know the best riders but why dose Contador have such big odds, i mean the way the bookies have is that he will run away with it, and even i know thats not going to happen or is it?

 

[Skip Madness]

Ok so im new to cycling myseld but followed the TDF for years but this year got more involded in all the other tours adn races, anyway I have just got to know the best riders but why dose Contador have such big odds, i mean the way the bookies have is that he will run away with it, and even i know thats not going to happen or is it?

I wouldn't be so sure - unless Lance Armstrong shows a level of riding at the Tour way above what we have already seen this season (which I start to feel is more and more likely the closer the Tour gets) then I would make Contador a massive favourite, too. Maybe not quite the odds up there, but pretty close. He showed some brains at the Dauphiné, I thought - he demonstrated that he does know how to keep a lid on his attacking when he needs to.

 

[yello]

What odds LA scuppering bertie's chances?

 

[rich p]

He's no more of a wheel-sucker than any of the other GC riders.

.

 

[yello]

To be fair (why? why be fair??) Cadel did show some daring do in the DL.

 

[Chuffy]

To be fair (why? why be fair??) Cadel did show some daring do in the DL.

I've almost started to warm to Cuddles. I can't put my finger on it but he smells cleaner than some of the others. And I'd prefer pretty much anyone to win instead of someone from Astana.