Tour de France 2017 ***SPOILERS***

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hoopdriver

Guru
Location
East Sussex
Will Froome try for a late breakaway stage win today, or leave enough in the tank for the ITT, as he still hasnt won a stage this year and has not really been tested in the mountains, other than the crazy runway finish which was 20percent and well out of his comfort zone.
My guess? He'll be conservative. He has the ITT as his hole card. He doesn't need to take risks or do any swashbuckling - Sky will control the stage (as best they can) knowing that if Froome has any kind of lead at all - or even a small deficit - he can almost surely ace them at the ITT on Saturday and ride into Paris in yellow. It'll be totally down to the others to unseat him, or try to.
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
My guess? He'll be conservative. He has the ITT as his hole card. He doesn't need to take risks or do any swashbuckling

He'll want a stage win though, and today looks his best bet - he might take time out of his rivals on the TT but I don't think he'll win the stage outright. So if Landa can deliver him to the final 500m today, he'll go for it.

Bardet is also bound to try something as this is his last throw of the dice and it's worth taking chances because he could fall off the podium in the TT anyway.

Aru will also have to try something, but I think he's done and will probably lose more time today.

Uran probably knows he can't take enough time out of Froome, so will save all his efforts for the final sprint in a bid to gain a few bonus seconds.

Martin will go for it but won't succed. He said at the start of the race that he'd learnt his lessons from attacking too much last year, but since the crash he's had too much time to make up to be able to afford to ride conservatively. It's a real shame because he could have been up there with Uran otherwise. Anyway, my hunch is that he'll probably attack with 2-3km left and end up losing over a minute.

Contador played his final card yesterday. Yates is cooked. So is Meintjes.

Barguil will want to seal the KOM competition but the question is whether he does that on the Col de Vars before the serious racing kicks off, or saves his effort to do it in style on the Izoard with the stage win. I'm guessing he won't be in contention at the finish.
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
I was starting to get a bit confused about this as well. The way David Millar was talking about it reminded me of Bill Hicks' old routine about Saddam Hussain's Elite Republican Guard. "Froome has yet to face ........ Uran's Elite Timetrialling Abilities"

This makes me feel old... I had an audio cassette of a Bill Hicks stand-up show (the Flying Saucer Tour?) with that routine in it. He was great. Much missed.


View: https://youtu.be/KWdxV8JRnUQ
 
cracking win for van vleuten and a good ride from deignan
 

mjr

Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
Silly error to make though - no excuse for that kind of cock up. Surely a big company like Cannondale is savvy enough about the rules to provide him with a race-legal bike?

(AIUI, the current Slice is not UCI approved but the old Slice RS, which is, is still in service for pro teams. Maybe he'd made some modification that rendered it non-legal, I just don't know.)
Dave Millar had made some comment early on that Cannondale haven't retained the TT knowledge that the Garmin squad used to have. Also, if Uran doesn't like the Slice, maybe he sabotaged it to get to try the road bike in a fairly short TT?

Uran has done good ITTs but not yet for Cannondale... it's an unknown that will probably make everyone nervous, including Uran.
 
Interestingly, la Course is employing the very idea that @MikeG came out with about a pursuit with riders setting off with the gaps they gained today. Not everyone though, only the first 21 to cross the line.

In her interview at the end, Deignan mentioned that she might set off and wait for Megan Guarnier and then pursue Van Vleuten together. So exactly the criticisms of the idea we came out with were mentioned straight away. Personally I think it's a dog's dinner of an idea and everyone will bunch and ride together, however, let's see what happens.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/cycling/2017/07/19/lizzie-deignan-feels-unsure-la-course-format/
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
I suggested in another thread that once or twice during the tour there are pursuit days, where the riders get set off at their over-all time. So the leader would go first, followed, at the moment, by Aru 18 seconds later, Bardet 33 seconds after him, and so on.

This is the format they're using for the second stage of La Course - a 22km TT/pursuit.

One obvious flaw is that the race has to be kept very short in order for the time gaps to be meaningful, which means that by the time the later riders start, the race will already be pretty much all over.

A longer format would end up effectively becoming a one-day bunch race.

ETA: @Crackle posted while I was typing this.
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
In her interview at the end, Deignan mentioned that she might set off and wait for Megan Guarnier and then pursue Van Vleuten together.

She also seemed very blasé - dismissive, even - about the second stage. She certainly didn't seem impressed or excited at the prospect. Nor was it a consideration in her tactical thinking today - she was going for the stage win regardless.
 

smutchin

Cat 6 Racer
Location
The Red Enclave
What was the 'Souvenir Henri Desgrange' prize that Primoz Roglic so deservedly won this year?

Am surprised the more knowledgeable have not answered this!

I missed @brommers post. It's the prize for being first rider to cross the highest point in the Tour - equivalent to the Giro's Cima Coppi. This year, as in so many other years, it was the Galibier, at 2642m.

I'm not sure if any of the other climbs they regularly use in the Tour are higher. The Col de l'Iseran is 2770m but they don't go there so often.

For comparison, the summit of the Izoard is 400m lower in altitude at 2360m.
 
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