HF2300
Insanity Prawn Boy
He was unlucky and a little bit naieve on that stage maybe ... take away the time he lost on that stage and the team time trial and he won it...
I totally agree with your analysis .. It was naivity on the whole team's part i the first week, I think
But that's just maths, really. Getting caught by the split in the crosswinds on stage 2 was a mistake, but on paper at least the first week didn't suit Quintana and the job was probably keep him in touch with the leaders, which they did. I think if you'd told him to start with he was going to lose two minutes over a week he wasn't suited to he'd have taken it, thinking he could recover the time in the mountains. Don't forget he did very well over the cobbles - you could argue he made the lost time up there.
Realistically he and the team were just not able, for whatever reason, to make up time on Sky over the whole race, and particularly in the second and third weeks where they'd have been looking to make the time.