An update some two years later, if anyone’s interested...
I didn’t pursue the first flat for all the reasons discussed. As a base in the city for what I could likely have paid it would probably have made a sound choice, however I think I’d have struggled to have lived with its shortcomings for any length of time.
This one hobbled on for maybe another year on the market before it was evidently pulled.
I sniffed around the second flat and had a punt on a lowish offer which was rejected, however I sat on my hands and some months later they came back to me. I was on the fence as this one too was pretty compromised - acceptable size, decent split-level layout and in a reasonable area, but practically in the middle of the A34 so the shared garden was basically useless on account of road noise, which remained very obvious inside the flat even through the triple-glazing...
I pushed the price further when the agent approached me again and it eventually sold to someone else... which wasn’t terribly disappointing. It would have been nice in a better location, but then it would probably also have been beyond my budget too.
Interestingly this one sold for maybe 7% more than I could have got it for; really highlighting how absolutely desolate the market was in early 2023.
While flats appear to have been, err flat since 2016 in much of the SE it seems that 2023 was a particular trough in this market in Oxford – at least at the bottom where I was looking.
It looks like in recent years the lower end of the flat market has split. Decent stuff that’s actually appealing as somewhere to live has largely stayed flat in nominal terms, with recent sold prices typically fluctuating a few percent either side of what properties might have previously sold for from about 2016 onwards.
Conversely less-desirable stuff has really taken a beating – which I think is probably a reflection of the welcome exodus of landlords from the market (albeit leaving a trail of misery in their wake).
It seems that previously buy-to-let was propping up the grotty end of the market. Run-down properties in undesirable / high crime areas, stuff with high running costs or otherwise sub-optimal facets might have been temporarily acceptable to an option-starved rent-slave at a push, but are now struggling to sell.
I’m seeing more stuff listed at sub-£200k than I think I ever have over the past decade, with a lot of properties remaining on the market for over a year in some cases, many reductions and a fair bit returning to market having previously been “sold”.
Unfortunately this stagnant market is also plagued with low inventory, so even finding stuff worth looking at is a challenge and after the second flat fell through there was little else that warranted viewing for the rest of 2023. I did see a nice one-bed come up in late 2023 and thought I’d have a sniff around if the asking price was dropped... fully expecting this to happen given how the market had been to that point.
However, the market evidently changed around this time and along with another in the same development, flat no.3 quickly “sold” with no reductions to the asking. It seemed that everything worth having rapidly disappeared from the market in the last few months of the year; leaving me even more despondent.
Early 2024 saw a little more come to market, including the return of flat 3. This time I was more proactive and took a look - it ticked a lot of boxes and I made an offer. After some civilised haggling a price was agreed in March - 4% less than asking; 2% less than what the sellers has paid for it some three or four years earlier.
Nauseatingly long and convoluted story cut deservedly short, after nearly a bloody year of frustration, anxiety and exhaustion the purchase finally completed earlier this week
Unsurprisingly compromises have been made... The flat's small but generally well laid-out, well-appointed and modern with gas central heating / cooker. It has direct access from outside, its own "private" garden and off-road parking right outside. Service charge is reasonable and energy efficiency rating decent. It's 3.5-4 miles from the city centre but there's access by bike or foot almost entirely on cycle / tow paths or relatively quiet roads; while there's a bus stop right outside and the service isn't terrible.
The area's quiet, reasonably affluent and has by far the lowest crime rate of any of those I could have afforded. It's generally very green and close to both some largeish woods and the Thames path. Due to its location traffic is pretty light (by Oxford standards) and potential for development is limited. Everything I've looked at has been close enough to the ring road for noise to be ever-present to some degree; except here.
I've been watching the property market in the city for more than ten years and all factors considered I can honestly say there's nothing else within budget that I'd have preferred; so while not perfect I'm resolute that it's absolutely the best I could have got
I'm very much aware of how objectively lucky I am to be in this position; let alone considering my own limited capabilities. This has only been possible thanks to the generosity of my mother and help of the friends who for unfathomable reasons have kept me employed for the past four-plus years. I remain forever indebted to everyone who's contributed to making this happen.
All's not good yet as it needs furnishing before it's liveable-in, but for the first time in more years than I can remember it's given me hope that life can be something other than an utterly joyless, pointless grind. After four miserable years living at home as a child in an ageing man's body, this finally feels like a new dawn
