Leading economists equals the ones you want to believe. What proportion of economists are predicting a first ever fall of 90%.
Upcoming fall? When exactly is upcoming? One stock market economist said for 4 years the market is going to fall, when it did "I told you so" If you had stayed in the market you would have been better off ie the market did not fall back to the start period.
Economist change there predictions on inflation and growth every month based on the previous months change. How can fail to get it right eventually.
You're absolutely correct, yes and to every argument there is a counter argument and reality is that economy is as predictable as the weather. Chaos theory at it's finest, but as time progresses, the pencil does get sharper. Negative speculation also hurts the markets, as does stock dumping...of which, there is a lot going on right now. I take the negative view though and you take the positive. It's all fair game. If you must invest though, invest long term and spread your portfolio through the various markets.
I think if your worried about inflation a fixed rate annuity is definitely not the way to go. It is not a fixed income, if inflation rises what you can buy with your fixed income is less than when you took out the annuity.
I'm not worried about inflation. I'm just pointing it out and I'm actually helping your point about savings. If you want to save with interest and make it worth your while, you need to hunt out the best deals and make the effort. If you want larger interest accumulation, you have to take the risk and the larger the return, the larger the risk but unfortunately, a great risk does not guarantee even any return.
As for an annuity...you can get an escalating annuity...you can have it increase in line with RPI, LPI or you can set your own growth, which is generally capped at around 8%, as far as I'm aware. This will reduce your starting income though and what you need to weigh up, is whether you think you will die before you break even. Most people opt for a level payment as, when they see the figures, they see the massive difference. Mortality is on the up though, so this is fast becoming an oops...or will do in years to come, unless people stop living longer. There are other products though...sort of halfway houses between annuity and drawdown...but they are generally crap...Pru Income Choice being the most relevant, but due to recent changes, not as great as it used to be. What you get with an annuity is peace of mind and the ability to plan your life. The alternative, until April 6th (pension freedoms - argh!), is drawdown and drawdown, for costing and market fluctation reasons, offers poorer returns than an annuity for most people, though it can be highly beneficial for those who can afford to do it, which is generally felt to be people with other sources of income or people with large pots...most firms wouldn't advise anything under £100,000 into drawdown, but even that is felt to be way too low. Average maturing fund size is somewhere between £40k and £60k. Oh and last but not least, always shop for an enhanced annuity rather than standard. The differences are rather large and you'll know why when you get there.