Amid the various panics, including here, about transmission outdoors, here's the only study I've seen which evaluates this.
2 out of 7000 cases were associated with outdoors transmission. They were from a conversation held outdoors.
The Welsh policy of apparently discouraging cycling is nuts.
The panic over joggers passing within 2m is nuts.
There is definitely overkill with the limits on outdoor exercise, especially in Wales, if virtually all transmissions occur indoors. The rules strike me as similar to those our schoolteachers used to use - "if some of you can't behave we'll punish all of you".
There are gangs of youngsters meet up around our area (tbf, I probably would have done the same at their age to relieve the monotony), there are at least two houses in our street that have had friends around this week, the supermarkets have people wandering all around the lanes ignoring social distancing. We are not in an authoritarian state and these things are hard to police effectively.
In Wales we are now not supposed to exercise in public parks, cyclists in city centres will be forced to go for more rides around the streets in traffic for exercise and since exercise implies some exertion tiredness is likely to make it more dangerous than riding a bit further into the countryside.
While I have to accept the restrictions I do resent the fact that they are coming over as a belated attempt by the government to cover their ar*es following their incompetence with testing and tracing early on in the crisis.
The government says it is following the science, but I am not sure that is true with Dominic Cummings on the SAGE scientific advisory group - which is supposed to be made up of scientists. It will be impossible for him not to try to influence it for political gain.
Rant over, deep breath........
