The big commercial vaccine trials have only just started in the nhs populations. Most have treatment periods of between 1 and 3 months. If any of them work, even though they will probably be expedited , I'd be surprised if we get anything within the year. And that's if any of them work, which at this stage is unclear. And to be marketed they have to work and also have no significant side effects
I think there will be partially effective vaccines at stopping people get infected. The WHO benchmark is 30%. There will be vaccines that exceed this but it is likely to end up trickier in some cases who to give it to and waiting for 'better' ones.
They will be "available" in 2021 for a "lucky" few million people. No vaccine for kingrollo, or the elite on here, or the peasants. A few of the very eldest of cyclechat may get the vaccine and people like midlife and MarkF may be bunged a vaccine.
I thought the oxford trial entered phase 3 months ago.
https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-06-28-trial-oxford-covid-19-vaccine-starts-brazil
Results expected end of November.
Results expected end of November.
As an over 50, asthmatic, with a leaky heart valve and an NHS employee - I reckon I will be in the first group.....or second.
Source?
So differing reports - some saying there could still be one available in the UK in the next couple of months, whilst others are saying early next year or six months , and Boris Johnson even suggested recently we may never got one....
Whats everyones thoughts ?
Or perhaps I can say it's all over the news. Or all over the daily mail? Not so nice to get some of your own medicine is it.
You may be bunged a vaccine from being in the NHS. Citizen kingrollo doesn't come very high up the pecking order on the other three criteria which have already been leaked .
It will takes months and months to give the vaccines. Asthma and heart conditions are incredibly common. The 'first' standard citizens to be given it will be those in their 80s.
Until successful phase 3 results are in, and UK approval given for a vaccine, who knows? Anything else is speculation. Some of it will also be political. Give the impression a vaccine is around the corner and people will be more accepting of restrictions. If no end in sight then difficult decisions will need to be made.