Have just watched the daily briefing from the Robert Koch institute, which is the place the buck stops at in dealing with the current pandemic, the source of information and coordination of measures to counteract it.
On the slightly brighter side, the current experience of the virus in Europe indicates it is not quite as lethal here as has been experienced in China. The estimate so far is that 1% (tempting to put only before it, but one death is a tragedy for a family) will likely die from the infection on average, increasing with age and existing medical conditions. 99% will therefore survive, and the symptoms for about 80% are not particularly bad. It does appear that once you have been infected you are immune thereafter.
Realistically, a vaccine is unlikely to be available until the beginning of next year. The spokesman hoped to be proved wrong.
On a much more sobering note, the speaker said if the population does not consistently adhere to the advice given by the institute and enforced by the Federal Government, washing hands and above all avoiding social contact, then within 2 to 3 months there could be up to 10 million people infected, with all the ramifications for overloading the medical system. In any event the numbers are set to dramatically increase, but it is possible to slow down the progress very considerably. The country has had two weeks warning to react before reaching the stage Italy is in at the moment.
Whilst the drastic measures adopted by France have not yet been implemented here, most social life has been closed down. My neighbour, who is a doctor, was asking me about measures in Britain, as it does seem to me (and her) the herd immunity strategy does run the risk of rapid and mass infection which the NHS will have to cope with.