kyuss said:
The failure mode of different materials is irrelevant to the original question, how long does it last?
You are quite correct. Although I would say that when people ask how long a frame lasts they really mean how long will I feel safe using the frame? Most of use would prefer to retire a frame rather than know it has reached the end of its life when you face plant tarmac at 25 mph.
Since carbon fibre cannot be visually inspected then this may well lead one to change a frame before it has worn out, to be on the safe side. So the practical life of a carbon fibre frame may well be shorter than the theoretical life.
As far as crashes are concerned. Whjat constitutes a crash? I have come off on black ice on a steel framed bike and have absoloute confidence that the frame was not damaged and that its life not reduced in any way.
If the same had happened on a carbon fibre bike I may feel less happy on 40mph+ descents.
The concern about CF is not in crashes where the frame is smashed to bits but ones where it looks fine after the crash but the damage has occurred internally and will lead to early failure at some point donw the road.
So I do think that failure modes are important when considering how long you might want to use a bike for. Of course frames of all materials can be made massively strong and will last pretty mcuh forever. But we know that frames are always a trade off between weight, stiffness and longevity.