Boris Bajic
Guest
For a start your numbers are wrong. The number of cyclists in the UK is estimated at 13 million, not 3 million.
http://www2.lse.ac.uk/newsAndMedia/news/archives/2011/08/cycling.aspx
Which makes it 265 cycling deaths not 1150, a 68% decrease.
And then you forgot the safety in numbers factor. If the number of cyclists increased ten fold as you thought, the number of deaths would only go up by 2.5 times to 280, not ten fold. With the actual increase of 2.4 times in the number of cyclists the number of cyclist deaths would go up 1.4 times to 157, an 81% decrease.
So wrong yet again from facts which are very simply checked.
The figure of 13 million cyclists in the UK seems unusual.
The figures are broken down briefly in the provided link, as follows:
3.5 million (41%) are Frequent Cyclists (those who cycle once a week or more)
- 4.3 million (33%) are Regular Cyclists (those who cycled 12 or more times in the past year)
- 3.5 million (27%) are Occasional Cyclists
On the basis of thses data, I am a regular surfer. That sounds quite cool, but is in truth quite misleading. This falls into the sense of regular: "I bathe regularly. Once a decade whether I need to or not".
Also on the basis of these definitions, I occasionally have sex...
If an argument is being made on the basis of a UK cyclist population of 13 million, then it might be bunkum.
But back to the thread: Who's winning?