Betting on the GT's

[yello]

I think that's why it's called a bet!

and why I don't bet at all!

But there are bets and bets. The winner of a title fight when there are only 2 contenders or the cycling event where there are hundreds. Add into that, there are any number of riders capable of winning, and the chances of any one of them having a simple puncture or mechanical that'd stuff all the best laid plans etc, then it really starts making picking a winner close to pure luck!

 

[mondobongo]

Christ,wish i hadnt seen this post.This is gonna be an expensive start to the year. Hincapie 14s for Paris-roubaix.

Thats a great price for him, more than capable of winning it and probably his last real chance thats were my money is going.

 

[softpeadals]

Armstrong looks to have broken a collar bone after a crash in the
Castilla y León

 

[Dave5N]

Odds are about risk not probability.

 

[Dave5N]

I wouldn't bet on cycling, there are just too many variables.

Wish I'd had £1000 on a certain manxman this week...

 

[yello]

Wish I'd had £1000 on a certain manxman this week...

Me too. I nearly used that as an example. I guess the odds on Cav where pretty good. Partly my point.

But I'm not sure I agree that odds aren't about probability. Certainly the bookie must figure it in when deriving the odds. The punter probably has a different take on it, a pleasure aspect too, but even then they'd probably not make an impossible bet even if it did have enticing odds.

 

[chfp77]

Gambling makes a good thing better!!!
Had money on Savoldelli in the 2005 Giro 25-1. BACK OF THE NET!!!!!!