As others have said the first ride outdoors after training indoors can be quite a shock, I have posted a couple of tables below off a web page that I trust, it is one of mine.
These are general purpose numbers for a 60 year old who weighs 70kg riding a 10kg bike and are of course debatable up to a point.
Those figures I assume don't include wind + hills!
I did a FTP run today, 20 minutes of smashing it, just under 300watts average, but thanks to been on my 17kg hybrid, some hills to go up, average speed was sub 15mph!! I now know why people ride with power meters, they make you feel better when you end up with a slow average speed